Dabuckeyes

Best rates and flake size this whole event. Instantly covering sidewalks and cars

Whoa...actually legit snow now in Lutherville 

Just now, goodwidp said:

Also in Timonium/Lutherville (Mays Chapel). Still relatively light precip falling, though intensity and amount of snow mixing in has increased noticeably in past 10 minutes or so. 

Yep. Visible flakes now after endless light mix most of the day

Actually some light snow here just north of the beltway 

Looks like a light mist. If you stare you might see a mangled flake or two

Just a very light wintry mix here.  Some small flakes are trying to mix in but the rates are too light.

Steady freezing rain/sleet mix here.  Side roads are horrendous

Just now, clskinsfan said:

GFS tucks and stalls off Rehobeth this run. Improved for some snow showers through the day tomorrow. 

More than snow showers near Baltimore. 

RGEM was more tucked, but no shift with the CCB. 

3 minutes ago, WxUSAF said:

3.2” now. Rocking these 0.25”/hr rates.

Only has to keep those up for 12 more hours to get in the 6-12 range 

Steady light to occasionally moderate snow in Towson area. Would say around 3”. 

I was worried about what to do with myself after this storm. Glad to have more to track!

It’s chips fall in place time. Nice moderate snow now. 

1 hour ago, gopper said:

Not sure about main roads, but side roads are instant coverage.  Coming down pretty good now, so I would think some main roads are covered, but they usually do a good job keeping 83 pretty clear.  Drive safe!  Hershey open now?  Rides and everything?

Did Hershey lodge and chocolate world for my daughters birthday. Not too busy. Roads in PA were not great, MD highways are good. Nice snow falling here in Lutherville with a temp of 27

Just now, gopper said:

Over achiever incoming!!

steady moderate snow in Towson

Are roads covering there? Driving back from Hershey and snow is just starting here. 83 can get sloppy fast

3 minutes ago, MDSnowyWxTracker said:

The Icon and RGEM had me worried there but the GFS seems to support the tucked west feature still.  Saturates the whole area with good qpf.  Hugging this run until the next one.

I think you guys will be okay out there.  Both of those models had a weird low snow hole, but that kind of stuff is not figured out this far out.  As was mentioned, a stronger storm would generally yield a larger precipitation field. 

Just now, midatlanticweather said:

The precip shield looks lackluster though. I would like to see it more juiced with a 995 off the coast

 

It does. If the storm is that strong the shield would most likely be stronger as well

GFS bringing the goods for the area. Nice stall again. Thermals seem better too

Just now, ryanconway63 said:

yea weird looking frame for sure

Look at the next few frames.  This is exactly why you need to be careful with NAM after 48.  It's bouncing all over the place trying to transfer

Just now, Roger Smith said:

GGEM has an exceptional look for this region, 15-25 inch potential with about 24h of continuous moderate to heavy snow potential as the coastal slowly develops in an ideal location, while the primary slumps southeast to eliminate dry slot and transient warmth. GFS is almost as good. ECM appears to be drifting into the same outlook. Based on that, first call from me:

widespread 17-23 inch totals, local 25-30. 

mixing issues confined to central, southern DE, southeast MD, VA s/e of RIC. 

Sometimes I wonder if you forget to convert mm into inches....but I like your style!

12z runs so far:

NAM a little progressive with part 2

RGEM and ICON have the coastal stall with CCB

RGEM visual

If we can believe the RGEM (usual caveats of being out of range), it's a beautiful storm for the entire area

RGEM with a nice transfer and low location

Was going to say, ICON tried its best.  Bless its heart...