Dabuckeyes

We were forecasted 1-3” in Columbus, OH. We are at 6” and counting. Banding made a huge difference. My point is you can’t trust the models completely. 

Exit stage right or does she come up the coast?

Banana High there? Looks like a great setup

4 minutes ago, Ji said:

Gfs
Cmc

Sent from my SM-A515U using Tapatalk
 

Pour North Dakota

9 minutes ago, MDScienceTeacher said:

Um guys..  not sure if anyone is getting this faster.. but the GFS looks like it might go off again.. could be wrong. but that 1039 HP isnt really budging.

Not enough CAD to make that work this time around

Temps crashing at that point. Still in the mid 30s but rates could overcome

10 minutes ago, nmyers1204 said:

Or a happy ending 

You rang?

Zzzzzz

1 hour ago, psuhoffman said:

I do not think Feb 1-10 will be a no hope torch.  But, the pattern progression is being delayed by the slow down of the Pacific forcing migrating east.  It's stalling in the western pacific for about a week.  This is leaving us in kind of a blah pattern in early February.  I could see an STJ wave cutting under and enough cold around with that PNA ridge to get something to work if we're lucky.  But the PNA ridge looks rather modest now, and the +++NAO is likely going to make it difficult to be cold enough until we get the more ideal pacific, and its likely a moot point anyways because once the wave starts to progress into the central pacific it kick starts the process of tanking the NAO again anyways.  We're likely looking at Feb 10-15th or so before the pattern gets REALLY good again.  

I know this is not what anyone wants to hear, patience isn't the best virtue of some here, but Mid Feb is NOT too late to pull out a good finish.  1958 really got going mid Feb.  And before someone says but its warmer now...2015 got going mid Feb too and that was not that long ago.  You know I will lean on warming when I think its a part of the equation, but Feb and March are being affected by warming way less that earlier in winter...assuming the waters ever do cool...right now places in the tropical Atlantic are running normal temps for July FFS.  

Ji, this is only two paragraphs. Are you cool with that?

1 minute ago, Ji said:

i need a 3 paragraph post from PSU about February

Use chatgpt

5 hours ago, A-L-E-K said:

Zzzzzz 

On to February 

Fantastic analysis. Where did you go to school for meteorology?

19 minutes ago, aldie 22 said:

Disappointing 

Aldie, meet Ji. Ji, meet Aldie. I think you guys are going to get along just fine. 

ICON looks to be flattening out compared to previous runs

It’s is wild how different each model is. GFS has been the most “consistent” in its last 4 runs. 

South Dakota Ji: “What a disaster”

9 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

Let's get the party started off right.  I'll be drinking a...wait...is anybody else drinking at 10:20 am?  Nevermind.

Good luck and may the odds be in our favor.

I’ll take the over on Scraff already being 2 drinks in. 

6 minutes ago, Weather Will said:

While we wait for 0Z, the glass is at least half full folks… best 10 day potential period of the winter coming up…10 Day 18Z WB GEFS.

What does the 18z pivotal and Tropical GEFS show?

This run looks similar to 6z yesterday. 

It got quiet all of a sudden. Is everyone drunk on weed already?

65 new replies…

Half of them from Ji….

1 minute ago, AtlanticWx said:

a gut feeling that things downtrend from here on out but i'll 100% take this!!

Looks like euro control

5 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said:

Kinda like watching your favorite team that's been struggling all year...you're watching in case something different happens 

Oh, you’re a Browns fan too?

1 minute ago, Interstate said:

It is not going to end up good

For Boston?

53 minutes ago, mattie g said:

I'm confused...you just posted a trend gif of one specific hour of an op run at nearly two weeks away which shows only the latest run being appreciably warmer in the South than the previous three. Temps are honestly pretty steady in our area, if that's even worth anything.

Are you expecting to actually glean something from this?

Guys, he’s going to Florida…

What does Tony Pann’s IBM or Samsung model say?