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Modfan2

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Posts posted by Modfan2

  1. 36 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

    I’ve been so focused on the next few events I didn’t really look at any longer term stuff but I noticed big signal around 2/20 and then beyond that the EPS building a huge PNA ridge

     

    ShesNotGonnaLetUsOut.gif.e6b16c99443f1e05fd96bace57375c9b.gif

    Big signals have been there on the long range all season, but few if any have materialized; everything seems to come down to a nowcast.

  2. Just now, Damage In Tolland said:

    There’s nothing that misses. Tuesday is still on much ensemble guidance . We need Will in here to bring back some sense of reality 

    I’m not sure his is talking about these whiffing; just potential P-Type issues to watch for.

  3. 13 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

    The snow and ice threats just kept going in clown range that run. It was like 6 events total over the 15 days. Crazy active. 

    Question, how much credence in the long range? Long range models have struggled all season with any kind of consistency; need to see these threats there within 5 days.

  4. Just now, ORH_wxman said:

    Ironically despite the rhetoric in here, the EPS mean is about as snowy as it’s been all winter out to the end of the run. 
     

    It’s somewhat high variance as is often the case in a gradient pattern, but it shows that there are likely multiple threats and a decent number of the ensemble members are producing solid snow events in them. 

    Pike north or for all?

  5. 19 minutes ago, Kitz Craver said:

    SNE is cooked SOP for this next one. It’s either coming south(but not enough) and warm or  too far north and warm. Beyond that, hopefully the gradient sets up far enough south 

    Fine with me, need the rain to wash the salt off the roads and cars

    • Like 1
  6. 1 hour ago, DavisStraight said:

    heavy accumulating snow, these are more fun than a 1-3 inch deal.

    Meh, just some gust showers with mangled flakes mixed in down here

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