Baltimorewx

Heaviest snow Ive seen all year..albeit big ice rimmed flakes. Nice looking out there

Yup white asteroids falling in with the sleet now in middle River

Back to moderate sleet...waiting for the sleet death bands

Glad to see you're getting the heavies now....should be to me shortly. In Middle River now

I know they like to stick to their update times but the NWS should really update more in times where storms sort of change quickly with a forecast...I mean 3-5" still in my zone forecast is laughable

freezing drizzle mist right now after about an hour of moderate sleet..roads are a mess for sure but havent seen any snow yet...heavies coming in soon though

Be glad you got a half inch of snow. I got no snow whatsoever here in Dundalk. Immediately sleet

NW has been getting banded with yellow and oranges all morning. Along and east of 95 not so much

They really need their own sub forum up there lol

King 3K NAM

All the good banding is to my NW...at this rate I won’t even do sleet well lol

I can hear sleet now. It has commenced

Nothing yet here in the pits of Dundalk...always the last to get in on the goods here

Hopefully it flips to snow some. The HRRR seems to flip back and forth for a lot of areas thru 11am

Imagine that...NW is getting banded first. Shocker!

It’s interesting how early it looks like the sleet line is advancing quick but then it gets knocked down. Maybe because of the rates?

If I only get 0.5” of snow I might cry. But 2-3” of sleet would sure be interesting.

Wow 0z HRRR is a nice improvement. It’s basically all snow for the thump for a lot of us

Yep. That’s a very reasonable assumption based on the guidance

This was my write up on my weather site...not going to post the images, you can pull those. Now that we’re about ~10 hours or so away from snow falling, the HRRR short range model is out to use as guidance. Pictured I have is when snow begins for the majority of the area which is around 6am and then when it generally gets the heaviest around 9am. Also pictured is the accumulation map thru noon. Generally the area has 3-4” inches of snow by noon and then sleet becomes much more likely especially around I 95 and the cities. I believe this is a solid call and generally is what most of the data is showing. So at this point, I expect snow to break out area wide between about 5-6am and get heaviest from 8-11am. That is when we will add the most accumulation so good idea to not be traveling during those hours. Then by lunchtime sleet becomes more likely followed by light sleet and/or freezing rain for the afternoon and evening with some ice accumulation possible. A general 2-5” for most is a solid call i believe with the most just north and west of I 95 where maybe a few folks could attain 6” if sleet holds off. Be safe tomorrow, whatever does fall will slop up the roads as temps should remain below 30 for the majority if not all of the day. Friday should be better but need to analyze if any backend snow or ice potential is there for Friday morning still.

HRRR Faster mixing and not as heavy as those early bursts were in early runs well it’s not as bad as I thought. Mix line collapses some as heavier stuff gets in more. It’s still acceptable lol sorry

For the most part, shut up

I really wanted to make an inappropriate snarky comment here...but I guess Ill keep it to myself

I hear you but I dont remember a storm being as potentially heavy in soon as it starts like this one yet this year though...assuming it doesnt end up drier than modeled

DC goes from 0 QPF...to like .7 in 5 hours on the HRRR