UnitedWx

100 percent. Better data in, better computation. That really isn't any different in data between models, so my expectations for AI models to be more stellar is quite low. I'm waiting for the 5 boob low super storms to show up on one of the AIs

So cue the 2-4 forecast when someone gets in from his run...

LOL but still, that's a couple inches at most if you're in the "sweet" spot, right? Oooi it's too early for these eyes

I try my best not to be one of those, but everybody has to have their melting point

Oh absolutely! Just don't let Coastal WX see the sentence I highlighted. He was ready to ring my neck while I was arguing this last night

And the funny thing is I just looked at the latest Euro and to me it looks the best it has for extreme Southern New England in the past several days. To my highly untrained eyes it actually looks better than the GFS from this morning. NOT saying it shows much however

I think the big head fake for some was the euro actually showing it for a run or two and then yanking it back. And I'll tell you I've been hating on the Euro the last few years compared to previous but it seems to be performing much better so far this winter then the recent past. I guess I'll actually have to look at it lol, but I'm not staying up past midnight to do so!

Yes that makes more sense to me. You're right many times you have the players on the field, they're just a little bit out of position and it ruins everything

Interesting perspective, but it definitely was not real at some point. That's the problem with forecasting the future you just don't know. If this storm doesn't happen as a blockbuster, then it was never going to happen that way. It's not like the models decided to change something it's the fact that they didn't know something or thought they knew something and were in error., it just wasn't meant to happen that way. It's like making assumptions in life a lot of times you get burned. Same thing with the weather computers. Lots of what they compute up to a point is based on assumptions

Yes. Aside from the wind chill, it isn't abnormally cold at all. Just kinda normal minus much snow... yet

Give it a few hours. Calculations will be put through the food processor and it will spit out a totally different solution

Yeah we had tons back this way also. For some reason I always forget what year that was. I'd love to see a stretch like that again but spread out over a few more weeks

LOL I don't have his Vulcan level recollection ability

I meant to ask Will this yesterday, was 2015 the January where we had nothing until mid month and then we had a decent stretch?

This wind today is crazy, good thing i use Aquanet! Really, lets save it for an actual storm

At least they're more prepared for it... at least in parts of the state. I swear one of the YouTubers I follow from Cornersville Tennessee has had more snow than us in the last 3 years

How can the models lay off a shortwave that close?!

No. It looked like it may at first, but it's still utter crap... and the NAM

Whistling past the graveyard...

They don't do that in Cali, that's part of the problem... they say it's environmentally irresponsible to perform that type of preventative maint.

I'd take it in a second but right now I'm selling those accumulations. I'm not like some here, just whiten the ground, get some snow in the air and get rid of the sunshine and I'll be happy for a while

Yep. As soon as the trend stopped or backed off on the others, it was a big red flag

I had a dream last night that I kept hearing Gabbies old voice coming from the Garmin saying "recalculating, recalculating" and her screen showed another GFS monster hit

That's my number 2 storm right behind '78 at least for depth. It would have been so much better in my area if we had more wind

Agreed. I love hiking/walking this time of year. Muffs with a hood, layers and good gloves and it's awesome. Had to drop my truck at the body shop yesterday 2 miles from the shop. Didn't have a ride, so I bundled up and walked the rail trail.