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NorthHillsWx

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Everything posted by NorthHillsWx

  1. Too bad all the fun in the Carolina’s is coming at night. Definitely serious now-casting. Some people going to wake up with bare dirt and scream “bust” while others 20 miles away have 4” will be screaming “overperformer.” I think it’s boom or bust, light rates are not going to cut it with borderline BL temps like they did last week and if you get fringed by one of those bands you’re not going to get much or anything. Think summertime thunderstorms if you want to know how this will play out
  2. SE VA and NE NC just got NAM’d. Great run for those areas
  3. NAM looks more expansive with precip so far coming in from NW
  4. Miami’s days of being a powerhouse are long gone. It’s too small a school with an off campus stadium and a fan base that doesn’t care. Too many hot heads and sketchy dealings. They will never succeed in modern football
  5. Mack is a used car salesman. Stars and ratings mean absolutely nothing on the field. Pitt won the ACC, I bet they land less 4 stars in 4 years than Clemson gets in a single cycle
  6. After the model runs today my thoughts are this has devolved into a novelty event. These meso-features never work out for many and that looks like our only mode for snow with this. I think most will see flakes but accumulation will be extremely limited and localized. Will be fun now casting but this will not be an event where general accumulation should be expected outside a few bands. On to the next one
  7. Agreed. Getting the feeling this will be a 0-3” forecast.
  8. Good luck nailing this one down. Localized variance will 100% affect the perceived outcome of how this plays out
  9. This setup really will be interesting tomorrow night. There likely will be localized areas that benefit from small scale features and get some decent banding. From what I’m seeing tho this will not be an area-wide score, though I think most areas see some snow. I think 0.5”-1.5” from the foothills east is a good bet but someone in there will get 3-4” where impossible to predict meso features develop. Nothings changed on that front since yesterday
  10. I love the video from that heavy band. Wish we’d spent another two hours in it. Was really coming down
  11. HRRR also managed to not drop a flake of snow in NYC… not sure I buy anything that models selling at this range. It’s way east and weak with the LP
  12. Not sure this qualifies as a whiff. I see 1 inch of snow for most of the triangle with 1-3” west of there based on this depiction of a mesoscale feature. I think most would live with this event
  13. Looks like a 3-4 day warmup then the ridge builds back in the NW with a +PNA. This was supposed to be a pattern change in the wrong direction just a few days ago but looks to resume with our winter weather threats quickly
  14. Definitely the glue consumption. I hate to say it but when the NAM is on an island with anything but thermals in a CAD situation you need to look at it, acknowledge it was there and it was something, then toss it before you get any crazy ideas
  15. EURO paints a picture I think is extremely realistic. For the entire east coast
  16. I was in Clemson for that. Was absolutely dumping snow after it flipped from rain, some of the heaviest rates I’ve seen in daylight
  17. These do tend to overperform when they develop but rarely do they make too Far East
  18. 18z GFS looks almost identical through 48. Maybe a hair further east
  19. The worst thing they ever did was fire Ruffin. That program hasn’t been the same since. There was a year they beat State, UNC, and WVU and they had national hype and and NFL RB and WR. Haven’t done much since then
  20. Ok I’m cashing out this storm with the 3k NAM. Done with the coastal. Give me my 2 inches of drama free snow and stick a fork in this one
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