NorthHillsWx

https://x.com/pappenheimwx/status/2108697812766441670/video/1?s=46

Doesn’t matter much now. Eyewall moving onshore

What a beast. Who saw this coming a week ago

The eyewall is roughly 4 hours away. We’re on final approach

One thing shear is doing is going to work on eyewall symmetry. Half-a-cane look starting. Hopefully that starts the weakening process. This current convective burst and little change with the CDO seriously lessen the chances of significant weakening but you can tell this storm is simply being held in check atm

Yep.

For real. IMO based on recon we have a cat 4 just hours from landfall in a very populated part of Florida and some on here still think a nor Easter is going to be the end result.

I think we’re getting some sting jet interaction. This very likely is cat 4 based on recon’s last pass of FL winds 130+ kts

Recon looks like this has shot up to cat 4

That… is actually impressive. Against 40 kts of shear

New hot towers. Still probably another hour to true peak

FL winds actually up and pressure down last pass. This is a 110 kt storm now

Recon shows this has either peaked or leveled off. NHC noted they now expect a major at/just before LF

A rapidly intensifying major under 10 hours from landfall is justification for as many passes as they safely have fuel for!

I’m upping my prediction from yesterday (previously 105 kt peak, 80 kt LF) to 110 kt peak, 95 kt LF