NorthHillsWx

Wow it’s now PDS. Large and dangerous tornado on the ground

Confirmed (observed) tornado over Captolo (just NW of Savannah). CC drop on radar too. As @GaWx points out the atmosphere has become destabilized in this area with discrete supercells developing. This is a much more conducive setup for tornadoes than yesterday

Confirmed tornado otg now over Captolo

2 likely tornadoes otg NW of Savannah per radar. TOR threat ramping up with discrete supercells now developing

Damage in the Pensacola area looks much more significant than areas further east. Definitely structural damage in line with high-end category 2 winds.

0.07” this morning. Not expecting much from the system, will be very happy if we get 1”

Pretty solid gusts recorded with this one. 118, 116, 114, 110 were the highest I’ve seen and most of those were from the western edge of the degrading eyewall! Pensacola through Milton to Jay seem to have had a sting jet because they were not in the actual eyewall or at best on the edge and that area all saw gusts over 110. I see the usual discord of land obs not matching operational intensity (not worth arguing with those people after every storm) but this system produced widespread gusts over 100 and several recorded gusts over major hurricane strength. Also, that sustained wind of 92 being recorded is impressive. Overall, Kind of in line with exactly what was forecast…. As for LF pressure as @GaWx shows this thing was rapidly filling in as the actual center crossed the coast. As all of the eyewall was already ashore I don’t think it matters as much here but when the actual center crossed the coast as it was well behind the main convection i doubt Winds over 100 were occurring. We’ll see what surge looks like but the worst is going to be between Destin and Panama City. Panama City measuring 5.6 feet makes me worried there are going to be some 7-9’ areas to the west. Daylight will reveal that. Overall this storm was exceptionally well-forecast by NHC and with a challenging forecast, pretty early on they were advertising a dangerous hurricane at landfall. If anyone doesn’t think seeing wind gusts over 100 with some major gusts over 110 also actually recorded qualifies as a “dangerous” hurricane, not much else to say here.

https://x.com/pappenheimwx/status/2108697812766441670/video/1?s=46

Doesn’t matter much now. Eyewall moving onshore

What a beast. Who saw this coming a week ago

The eyewall is roughly 4 hours away. We’re on final approach

One thing shear is doing is going to work on eyewall symmetry. Half-a-cane look starting. Hopefully that starts the weakening process. This current convective burst and little change with the CDO seriously lessen the chances of significant weakening but you can tell this storm is simply being held in check atm

Yep.

For real. IMO based on recon we have a cat 4 just hours from landfall in a very populated part of Florida and some on here still think a nor Easter is going to be the end result.

I think we’re getting some sting jet interaction. This very likely is cat 4 based on recon’s last pass of FL winds 130+ kts