NorthHillsWx

RDU precip shield holds again. Guess it was just under repair during July

A DP of 82 at 4pm is diabolical

9 days straight without rainfall here and, coupled with the heatwave, it has rapidly dried out. Maybe we get in on the MCV action tonight. SPC Bumped it to a level 2 for western half of the state tonight

They bumped the threat level up today for the possibility that a MCV passes through this evening. Level 2 risk for triangle, triad, and foothills/mountains this evening and early overnight. Will be interesting to see if this pans out models all over the place.

At least we have irrigation again

Think models are seeing just how hostile upper level environment actually is ahead of whatever forms but still a very strong signal for development. Will it be strong or long track? Probably, almost definitely, no

High peaked at 99.1 but heat index peaked at 110.7. This is absolutely brutal weather and no outflows to save us today

We got lucky on on the 2nd and picked up 1.12” but haven’t had anything since. Turned the sprinklers back on

Raleigh rain shield has been reengaged

2 lemons

Yea it’s in no way a primed environment but simply having an active storm out there this year is going to be an atmospheric accomplishment

MDR looks pretty dang active next 10 days. Caribbean is extremely hostile but there looks to be a window over MDR and possibly even north of islands. Could be a situation where anything that forms would have to thread the needle but there may be a path where something gets further west if it tracks north of the islands. Far too soon to tell but the development signal is very high at this point

High of 94, but heat index got to 105. Pretty miserable day. 0.00”

Short to mid-range guidance has definitely trended towards the dry side for much of NC with heat building back in next week. Was really hoping to kill the drought but we might yet start sliding again.

0.00” here overnight and yesterday. First miss in a long time