NorthHillsWx

I think all of wake is over 4” for the month with Raleigh-north over 8”

This looks like a coastal storm Snowfall Map

Just as it looked like that SE band was maturing it got sheared south in the most recent radar shots. Probably be the name of the game for this system today, periodic attempts to organize but shear winning out each time. Probably a 55-60 kt ceiling and that is only if it can sustain longer than it did this morning. Still interesting to watch the circulation strengthen with this much shear, certainly a stronger storm than at any point yesterday though wind speed will likely go up and down through the day

That is shocking

That SE quad is pretty solid on radar now. Not surprised by recon, this probably gets bumped to 50-55 Kts at 11. I guess the question is in the face of 25 kts of shear, how close is this to its ceiling? Maybe 60kts later today?

Picked up an additional 0.12” overnight a some point which brings us up over 9” up to 9.02” MTD

Picked up another 0.62” to bring the daily total to 2.33”. This now brings the MTD to 8.90”. Looks like maybe another round later tonight too?

Absolutely nuts across wake county tonight

1.41” at my house between 3 separate periods of rainfall brings the MTD total to 7.98” EDIT: just picked up 0.30” from a heavy but brief storm. 1.71” for the day 8.28” for the month. Looks like more incoming

Bad street flooding right now around Glenwood/440 on my commute

Better banding features especially in eastern quad on radar but center still dealing with serious dry air. Recon confirms with very light winds a good distance from center. Not far off from TS but not very well organized at all. NE shear is very evident and dry air intrusion will certainly limit this thing. Not sure the environment gets better even if it misses land and went south of Louisiana some models actually show shear increasing later on

I think the key here is Wake/Durham/franklin counties probably had the wettest month after being left out on everything rest of the year. Does alter one’s perception when you’re under repeated rains vs someone a county or less away not seeing them

We’ve reached the stage where if you look at the sky funny it will rain on you

Second day in a row I’ve had a heavy shower blow up right overhead before it even showed on radar

Seems to be trending a bit north today with less of a time window over water. Probably only gets to minimal TS at this point. Satellite appears to be showing more northerly shear today as well