NorthHillsWx

I think we’re done but what a great rainfall. 0.98” which brings me to 1.01” for the month. Biggest 24-hour rainfall since August here

What a radar to wake up to. Hallelujah

RDU set yet another record high yesterday, 99. This is the ***16th*** record high set in 2026 and is made even more notable by passing the old record of 15 record highs set in a calendar year (2007), keep in mind it is only June. If you think this has been a hot start to the year, it has now become historic for Raleigh! And we still have the second half of the year and raging El Niño, this year will possibly see the record double.

Have faith, it’s coming tonight

Just 0.14” earlier but it felt like a proper appetizer for tonight. Also, enough to wash my kids chalk that’s sat on driveway in increasing amounts over last 3 weeks

Ladies and gentlemen: it’s pouring

We just got hit with the outflow here hopefully our number is about to be called

Over 30” of rain reported with (obviously) catastrophic flooding in Avoyelles parish Louisiana

Really not a worse look for the falls lake watershed

Short range guidance has trended very wet for triangle and triad with some 2-3” amounts showing up. This could be the rainfall event we’be been waiting on to at least make a dent

Let’s ride

Models have generally trended north with the low overnight, and thus wetter in some of the worst drought areas. The potential exists for most areas in piedmont to get at least 1/2” with some 1”+ amounts. That would make this possibly the largest event since August, the last time I recorded over 1” from an event. Still not certain as there could be a sharp gradient but overnight trends continuing into this morning were encouraging

After another week without rain I cant imagine tomorrow’s drought update will be very pretty for NC

No hope for drought ravaged areas of northern piedmont. Discussion from RAH: QPF still remains quite variable and in flux, but remains rather light (mostly under a 0.25 to 0.50). The GFS shows absolutely nothing over the drought plagued northern Piedmont of NC. The hi-res models are now coming into range, but do not offer much hope. We need a pattern change. The pattern has been so persistent with either a dominate ridge aloft or a zonal flow. The areas east of the Appalachians have had an atypical mountain shadow hole in the rainfall due variations of a dominate westerly flow in the mid levels for quite some time. We need a break in the mid/upper levels over our region or a dominate Bermuda high with SW flow aloft to consistently bring Gulf moisture and lift to the region. This is not seen in the foreseeable future. The zeros keep stacking up.

I think the drought might be completely ended in a lot of Georgia by next week if this tropical low moves through as predicted