NorthHillsWx

NAM super amped, pretty legit storm NE NC and SE VA

Happy for you! That band was great but we only had it for 1 hour. Eastern side of county did better. Actually made it worse for those of us who got shafted by it

Im f*ing exhausted but lets run this back. Thought we had a break from model watching, this winter has been nuts. Raleigh needs the 18z euro like peanut butter needs jelly

41.5 here, honestly shocked we’ve held onto snow cover. Guess the permafrost is helping us

Raleigh NC last weekend. Sorry, lurking

Yea they have. Recent runs have been slightly less positive tilt though and we’re seeing a slower progression/more backing of the precip bc of it

Getting close to something more significant there…

AI Models look really good

GFS also improved at 500. Much more expansive precip

If current trends continue someone will get EURO’d tonight lol

This is a little different than the cold chasing moisture event a couple weeks ago. In this case the front has already passed through and there’s a secondary LP developing in the colder air. The airmass isn’t nearly as cold as the last couple we’ve used and it’s always delayed over the mountains but I wouldn’t call this a “classic” case of cold chasing moisture

From RAH. Improved storm signal but climo favors limited accumulation due to nature of cold chasing precip: Both deterministic and ensemble guidance of the GFS/ECMWF/CMC have gotten wetter, which has resulted in more ensemble members producing measurable snow. The best chance would be across the north. However, this is a case of cold air "chasing" the precipitation, which typically results in limited snowfall if any across our area. Still certainly worth monitoring.

Nice improvement at 500 mb on ICON, surface didn’t change much

Cracked 40 for first time since January 23

Cracked 40 for first time since January 23