NorthHillsWx

It’s still raining but we’ve had just 0.21” today with a flood watch. Pretty sad

The nightmares…

First measurable rain since start of the month but just 0.02” lol

Worried the clouds have stabilized the triangle area. Rainfall focus seems to strongly be south and east of here where some earlier destabilization occurred with sunshine.

19 days since last measurable rain here. Hoping to end that today or tomorrow but outflow from the main line east of here has passed over, probably killing the chance

Evaporated before getting here too. Rained for 20 min but very light and not measurable. TR for the day

No rain in 15 days here

Total whiff by models, but testament to just how hostile the basin is with El Niño roaring

Seems like the center will pass well south of the big island, but with elevation I’m sure some very strong winds will occur on land

If anyone’s followed models or honestly just looked at the system and avoided social media it’s been very apparent for days this will be an upper-tier TS or bottom line cat 1 hurricane when it makes its closest approach. Based on what I’ve seen it likely skirts just south of the big island. Nothing shocking or surprising has happened this system has largely followed the forecast, though I agree at present it would seem to be unlikely this reaches hurricane intensity before its closest approach

98.5 heat index of 109. This is as bad as it gets. 13 days without rain its getting crispy again

I know it’s always overzealous with the tropics but the recent GFS run shows 4 separate MDR systems in a row including 94L and 92L, the current invests. While Caribbean shear and the TUTT over SW Atlantic persists this active wave could really boost season numbers tho I doubt any get far west or very strong

Fairly pleasant outside this evening. “Only” made it to 89.6 and heat index never got above 92 with tolerable DPs in the 60s. Tomorrow is back to the oven

Looks like one of those CAG systems in the Caribbean

Pretty surprising to see this much MDR activity in a strong nino in August. Heck even some recent Augusts with La Niña couldn’t produce in MDR