tiger_deF

The first tropical wave (10/10) is looking rough, but this is the first time all season that there's been a healthy looking disturbance in the eastern MDR with a good moisture pocket. Low level vorticity is starting to increase as well

This is fascinating, especially given how sleepy the global models are out to the bell-ringing date, and the documented effects of Ninos shutting down late-season development. Perhaps it suggests a brief burst of high activity during the peak of the season?

Come to papa

I’m over it. It feels like there was a better chance of getting lightning from one of the blizzards last winter out east than this pithy severe season. Bring on the Fall!

Haven’t seen a more dismal (overall) background state for tropical activity since I was in middle school. MDR and Caribbean SST anomalies are the coolest they’ve been in years, subtropics are scorching, monstrous El Niño peaking intensity near late season.

Let’s get a Pineapple Express of cutters dropping 2-5” (Wes Fri Sat) then a bigger coastal or two in the next few weeks. Pattern is ripe and we don’t have many weeks of winter left

Some of the best rates yet in Arlington. Half an inch on the ground after just 20 minutes of shoveling. Praying that the newly formed band over BOS stays put for a few hours.

Thinking of taking a strategic map, for BOS what’s an estimate for timing the peak of the storm? HRRR seems to think maybe in the ballpark of 8 AM?

A few miles west of the city, we barely cracked an inch an hour ago. But the pace has picked up markedly the past half hour and the wind is howling

I wasn't planning on pulling an all nighter but at this point I might as well

I'm committed to staying up until the snow gets heavy because otherwise I'll be in a bad mood. Nowcast central

Road still doesn't have any accumulation. Maybe 0.25" 3 miles NW of Boston

Hasn’t even started snowing here yet

Night ruined

Pressure dropping at a steady 2mb/hr rate for the past 3 hours, went from 1000 to 996 according to SPC analysis. Around ~2mb deeper than the predicted timepoint