Jump to content

Sernest14

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    457

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by Sernest14

  1. Sernest14
    Was just about to say the good shit isn’t far away- should get some good rates
  2. Sernest14
    Flurries starting in ashland
  3. Sernest14
    Almost seems as if the precip on radar is moving more flat/southern than models are showing
  4. Sernest14
    looks like moderate returns coming from the west- should start within an hour or so
  5. Sernest14
    Seeing TN all snow on the radar should be a positive- models have mix for a lot of areas that are still snow
  6. Sernest14
    ah I thought I saw a map that had 39 inches that was posted- my fault
  7. Sernest14
    that includes the precip for this weekend too- still showing 20 couple for next but gfs is showing 15-17 for this weekend and not accounting for ice and sleet in that mix so overdone.
  8. Sernest14
    Chalk it up as a win in Ashland- beat the Friday snow
  9. Sernest14
    Seems slightly more north and more precip coming in. Euro jumped up to 3”, nam and hrrr both give the Richmond area 3-4
  10. Sernest14
    9” drifts? Looked about 3” or so on the last page
  11. Sernest14
    Now all we need is the low to hug the coast for a while and stall
  12. Sernest14
    It’s already depicting that on the radar loops, just need to allow the low to keep working its way up
  13. Sernest14
    per 12z nam, we were only at .01-05” through 1 pm Hrrr .01-.05” through 2pm As the low creeps up it’s going to fill in more and also push the better returns into our area which is what almost all the models show as well
  14. Sernest14
    its building back in per radar. West is going to continue to show dry due to mountains in western Carolina but will build back in as it crosses into va
  15. Sernest14
    Radar depiction down in the south at the gulf looks much more amplified (assuming a stronger low). Hopefully can power through more than what the models show to give us a little shift nw. also looked a couple hours early and is heavier in western/central tn
  16. Sernest14
    Assuming they are running with 15:1. Most qpf is around .4-.5 which puts it in the range then the trickle nw that tends to happen as well
  17. Sernest14
    Such a lazy forecast- they always do that
  18. Sernest14
    any reasoning behind this for the NAM or is it just weakening and dying over the mountains?
  19. Sernest14
    Definitely curious to see what NAM does at 00z, 6/18 have been drier than 00/12 over - also feel like I’ve heard there’s not as much data to work with during 6/18 so not as accurate? No idea how true that is
  20. Sernest14
    Dinardo’s updated map
  21. Sernest14
    anywhere have the graf free?
  22. Sernest14
    12k has a lot more sleet
  23. Sernest14
    Its been pretty good in this area all winter
  24. Sernest14
    12k NAM looks more robust and better than 6z
  25. Sernest14
    NAM looking slightly better through 26
×
×
  • Create New...