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clskinsfan

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Everything posted by clskinsfan

  1. How long has it been since we had an event trend better on guidance as we got closer. Seems like decades.
  2. HRRR jacks the Shen Valley. I have no clue whats going to happen at this point.
  3. Another snow shower west of Winchester. Second little band popped up I guess. Winds are howling. Temps are dropping. Perfect winter day.
  4. Done here. Picked up .3 from the squall. Fun little event.
  5. Wind picked up. Heavy blowing snow. Gorgeous outside.
  6. Solid snow here in the Winchester area. Everything covered. My third measurable event in 8 days.
  7. Dont be too excited. Winchester model jacks with every god damn storm and fails miserably.
  8. Thanks. So basically we need it further east? I just was going off memory and I remember the PV acting as a block and sliding vorts under us. But again you are much better at this stuff than I am. I am a weenie always trying to get better.
  9. Thing is it saved us in 2010. Could be that we get surprised by a couple of chances over the next 2 or 3 weeks.
  10. NE MD pummelled on the GFS. I would be envious AF if it were to verify.
  11. HRRR with a pretty nice squall line tomorrow. For those that are into that kind of thing. Maybe we can snag a quick half inch from it?
  12. I took some time off and came back to see the storm thread closed. I was like "uhoh that cant be good". Then I went and looked at the RGEM. For sure that weenie ass model will bury us. Ummmm. No.
  13. I will never trust the RGEM again. I will just cut its totals by 75% to get a good idea of whats gonna happen.
  14. I am not a big fan of the NAM period. But it is definitely an improvement over 12Z.
  15. Yep. The vortex is further west than 12Z as well. It is going to be a good run imo.
  16. I just use the 6hr qpf panels on pivotal to get an idea of the surface representation.
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