clskinsfan

10 minutes ago, 87storms said:

All bs, pessimism, reverse psychology, and whatever other mind tricks we play...the reality is that this winter is at least better than the last one...and there's still time to stat pad.

I am almost 60% of climo. With 5 weeks of good chances left here. I am not gonna complain about that. 

I dont how many are gardeners in here. But the USDA updated their zone maps this year. I was moved into a warmer zone here. I was moved from a 6B to a 7A. That is a pretty major difference in planting schedule. And basically ends their thoughts of me getting frosts here into mid May. I was actually kind of shocked. Because we had a really cold spring last year. And I had my last frost on May 7th. Type your zip code into this map and you can see what the temperature change for your area has been since 2012. Mine was 4 degrees.

https://planthardiness.ars.usda.gov/

20 minutes ago, EastCoast NPZ said:

I never measured, and half of it was probably gone by the time I could've measured.  Based on a 6AM look out the window, I'll go with 1".  Just slush on hard surfaces.  Pretty crappy event here.  No surprise.

 

8.5" for the year.  Lowest in the region I'm certain. 

That is unbelievable. I am like 10 miles NW of you have double that amount so far this winter. You shouldnt have moved back

Done out here NW of Winchester. Just under 3 inches here. Enjoy everyone to the east. 

10 minutes ago, EastCoast NPZ said:

Early AM, may have approached an inch on grass and elevated surfaces.  By the time I got out of bed there was less and continues to steadily melt.  Drip, drip, drip.  About what I expected here in the heat island of Stephens City.  Places out in the north and west part of the counties look to have 2 - 3 inches.

Yeah I busted. Living in a world covered in mashed potatoes. 

RGEM is still out.  So is the ICON by the way. 

From weatherwiz up there. Frikin hilarious. 

7 minutes ago, snowfan said:

Viewer discretion advised in the New England sub.

Cant really blame them. It is supposed to snow there in the winter. 

1 minute ago, WinterWxLuvr said:

The main difference from earlier is precip amounts, which truthfully are probably very difficult to nail down. People talk about warm ground and yes we had a couple of warm days but we also had about 3-4 straight days last week in the upper teens.

It's 43/43 here right now brother. I am as big of a weenie as there is here when an event warrants it. Maybe I will bust. But I am not feeling this one. 

1 minute ago, NorthArlington101 said:

snow depth again? smh. Making a meh run look worse than it needs to.

3k is slower to transition to snow than the RAP/HRRR/12k. It's a rates problem. Who knows which of the hi-res models will nail the banding. We'll find out in 12 hours

also, fwiw, 3k was probably an improvement from 18z. But both meh.

Snow depth with those temps is probably about as accurate as you are gonna get. If you prefer the Kuchera it isnt a whole lot better. The airmass is marginal to say the least. 

Just now, WinterWxLuvr said:

Lol. Go ahead and put faith in the NAM, HRRR, and RAP again.

We got  deNAM'd

HRRR starting to get a clue at this point:

1 minute ago, EastCoast NPZ said:

Thanks..that's weird they closed the city prior to the county.

Yeah. Its even more ridiculous. 

Where is the cold air coming from?

3 minutes ago, EastCoast NPZ said:

I've not been notified 

My bad. Winchester city is closed. No the county yet. Just saw the alert and assumed. 

Frederick County, VA schools already closed. Ridiculous.

1 minute ago, HighStakes said:

Tom T going very conservative. 1-2.

Probably a pretty smart call for just about everyone under 750' imo. 

Those soundings in Jersey! BOOM.

Its not as juiced up as the HRRR. But its still  nice.

Even the snow depth map would be acceptable in my eyes.

18Z HRRR is a thing of beauty. I am buried.

3 minutes ago, Ravens94 said:

GEFS

Essentially near benchmark Many members are hard hits

Beautiful

Latest RAP is even better. Literally pummeled. 

Latest HRRR would be a shellacking out this way.