clskinsfan

Normally I would be flipping put about the Monday look out this way. But the setup for Wednesday is making me salivate so much right now. 

Hr 96 on IWM. The HP is already draining cold air down on us. Storm is stronger out west. This should be a good run. 

2 minutes ago, Fozz said:

Still out to only 54. Silly weenies 

72 on IWM. But only 500 and 850 maps there. 

The GFS is really active throughout the run. With multiple chances for frozen for the western burbs and multiple coastals. Temps are an issue. But that makes sense for December. But we are in for a fun few weeks of tracking it looks like. 

1 minute ago, WinterWxLuvr said:

That map is just silly. That’s a perfect inversion of what an ice map would look like.

Yeah. We arent icing while DC is snowing. Not gonna happen. 

The CMC is as good as a track can get for the Mid Atlantic region. Tucked at the mouth of the bay with a nice HP over the top. just stunning. 

Just now, Paleocene said:

Here are the fresh GEFS ensemble lows. that is a hell of a cluster east of assateague

That is gorgeous. The Ohio low idea is quickly going bye bye. 

Holy GGEM!

The euro is beautiful for us out west. Snow on snow has not happened in so long I almost forget what it feels like. 

Its a 3-6 out this way. Which i would take in a heartbeat in December in any year. And not complain.

Storm is still there at least. Dry slot is a little too close for comfort out this way. We need the transfer further south to really score. 

1 hour ago, psuhoffman said:

We’re on the same page. And 24 hours before Bob Ryan will interrupt the 11pm news to say this is gonna be big!

I miss Bob Ryan man. 

And I gotta put in my usual "I hate being in the bullseye" a week out comment. 

This is a pretty nice CAD signature out of the Euro for mid December. Have to use 850 because I dont have access to the surface. But it still looks nice.

Got stuck in a meeting so couldn't watch the Euro as it came out. But there is excellent agreement btmetween the Euro and Gfs at this point that Shenandoah Valley is gonna get clocked next week. God this is so much more fun than last years debacle. 

7 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said:

GEFS is gonna be pretty decent. I'll post a map in a sec.

GEFS seems to transfer a little bit earlier than the op. Looks awesome.

NY gets hammered. 

12Z GFS is beautiful for the Shenandoah Valley on Wednesday. Winchester gets pummeled midday Wednesday. We lose the surface temps. But that is a dumping. 

6z gfs is very similar to last night's ICON with the midweek storm. They both jump to the coast around the mouth of the bay. With a decent cold air mass that would work out here in the Shenandoah Valley. CAD is showing up on the models. But it isn't really that cold. Verbatim it is still a thump to dryslot. But I would feel better with a stronger hp over the top. Still tons of time left though.

Icon is a jumper. But what a thump that would be out this way. Thump to dryslot would be just fine. 

36 minutes ago, Paleocene said:

Not bad

GEFS for the same timeframe. Look awfully similar from a week out.

1 minute ago, mappy said:

I know I'm right. Its my wedding anniversary  

Ha forgot about that. You had the best wedding ever. 

yes Please!

GFS holds back the energy too long for anything good. Will be a monster rainer for the 19th.

ICON is on the jumper idea the GFS was showing yesterday with the second wave. Decent HP over the top as well. 

6 hours ago, Ji said:

I wouldn't. I'm going to call it a winter after 7.9 inches lol?

Dont sweat it Ji. You can just come 25 miles west and see 20+.

@psuhoffman Thanks for those setup maps. The thing I find interesting on them are the differences in the PAC. To me it really shows just how important Atlantic blocking is for us.

Never saw a flake out here. Cold dry air is the double edged sword.