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Weather Will

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Everything posted by Weather Will

  1. Forum is laser focused on the ensemble period but the latest WB EPS weeklies continue to keep it below normal into the second week of February. Pretty amazing if this verifies considering the consensus winter forecasts. Precipitation also normal to above.
  2. Impostor hacked the real Cape account. But very impressive.... long day putting away XMAS decorations....
  3. MJO is trending more amplified into 8-1 as we head into January, we will take all the help we can get.
  4. WB 6Z GEFS; this is all week two but it is the best GEFS run so far this winter.
  5. Even the Washington Post has an article on the upcoming pattern....never seen so much hype bordering on hysteria. Everyone must be hitting the egg nog hard this year. Don't jinx it. Mother Nature will throw us some curves the next 30 days. Hopefully, there will be a discrete threat by next weekend but no guarantees in this business. Remember, Lucy is always waiting to pull the football away...
  6. Latest WB EURO weeklies keeps it below normal through the rest of January. Best 7 day snow means are the period ending Jan. 16 and the 27th.
  7. 12Z GEFS (6 members of 30 with hits) and EPS (8 members of 50 with hits) pretty close at two weeks with snow chances in January. With two week to go we will see how it trends....
  8. Drought busting rains through the end of the year. WB 6Z EURO.
  9. WB 0Z GEFS is very dry after the deluge this weekend. So is the WB EPS.
  10. 0Z runs definitely took the Christmas spirit (hope) with them. Trend or blip TBD.
  11. The holiday season is about hope. Great quote I would like to share...hopefully we get some luck the first couple weeks of January. Best wishes to you and yours....
  12. WB latest EPS extended.....weekly temps and total precip. Now we wait to see if it will deliver....
  13. The next significant weather event is drought busting rain next weekend. Looks wet if you are going to the Commander's Sunday night game.
  14. If we were a sane bunch, we would all take a break and check back In early next week to see how the weekend after NYs looks...not going to happen....
  15. WB 0Z 3K NAM is much drier this run east of mountains. Good news with so many holiday errands/ gatherings tomorrow.
  16. WB SST Atlantic basin anomalies don't look horrible right now.
  17. My observations are that the globals outside five days may be helpful to see general trends but not specific storm tracks. If the ensembles show support for a storm track on the globals, that gets my attention.
  18. Lot to sort out the next two weeks, but the advice to ignore the globals outside five days is sound. Big differences between WB 6Z GEFS (first two pictures) and WB 6Z GFS.
  19. All of the hits east or south are for the post New Year weekend period. About five of 50 members so far. I will be watching for trends. (WB 0Z EPS).
  20. Weekend after NY's may be our first period to watch. WB 0Z EURO suite is mostly offshore but there are a few hits including the AI.
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