Weather Will

WB 12Z EURO Midweek low is out to sea. EPS still 10-20 percent, but less than 0Z. Watch it a few more days. My bar is low. If it is going to be cold, it might as well look like it.

WB 12Z GEFS thru Day 7.

Long shot flakes focusing on Day 6-7 wave on EURO, EPS, EPS control and GEFS.

WB GEFS 18Z at Day 8.

WB 12z EPS and GEFS thru Day 8. Still a long shot.

Lightning detector which I forgot to turn off kept going off so I looked at the extended. Still tracking my last chance of flakes. EPS and GEFS still have a couple hits but think storm track on this not set in stone until after Monday ‘s rain storm.

Most snow in April. Source: NWS April DC Baltimore Dulles 5.5" 1924 9.4" 1924 4.0" 1990 4.0" 1889 5.0" 1894 2.6" 1982 3.5" 1915 5.0" 1916 2.5" 1996 3.0" 1918 4.5" 1915 1.0" 1973 2.0" 1894 3.0" 1917 0.6" 1964

DC Baltimore Dulles 0.5" Apr 28, 1898 0.1" Apr 28, 1898 1.0" Apr 12, 1973 Latest measurable snow. Source: NWS

Look the chances are under 10 percent for a once in a hundred year event in mid April for late next week, but both EURO and GFS have it. At least for six more hours, something to track other than the virus.

18Z GEFS

WB 18Z GFS.

WB EPS 12Z....our 1/50 chance.

WB EURO thru next Monday....hopefully some well needed rains on the way for the MA.

If this were mid March, there would be a lot of activity in the forum discussing next week.. I like the distraction from the pandemic so I hope the snow maps keep on coming until hurricane season.

WB 12Z GEFS thru Day10. I will consider it a win if I see one flake by next Friday....sill not expecting anything but cold rain.

WB 18Z GEFS still signaling a storm next week.

WB 6Z GEFS. If this was not April....

WB GEFS... where was this all winter!!!!

WB 18Z GFS. Brutal if this verifies.

By the way I am showing these WB maps to emphasize the 7-16 day period looks chilly and wet, not because I think it will snow.

EURO WB 10 day precip.

WB 0Z EPS spitting out a few bombs in the 7-10 day period.

WB EPS for next weekend. Don't plant tender vegetation yet....

We are getting more rain than forecasted. Too bad its two weeks too late for a nice little storm.

12Z WB 3K NAM for our southern friends.