WB 6z EURO....for Monday low run does not go out far enough but through 7pm Sunday is further North compared to 0Z. We’ll see what EPS says. ( so much for following my own advice to wait until Sunday to look again)...
Couple of non expert observations. It is not going to snow in the next five days. Take a deep breath and let’s see how it looks by Sunday for the period leading up to the holidays. Trying to dissect every model run beyond five days all winter will drive you crazy. Secondly, the torch pattern anticipated by many for the second half of December appears to be at least delayed.
Fingers crossed but we all know how it likely will play out. It is worth reminding everyone that December is not normally a snowy month....
Monthly DEC. average:
DCA: 1.5 days or 2.3 inches.
BWI: 1.7 days or 3 inches
WB had been frozen this am at hour 18 for EURO...but don’t think it matters up here, it’s over Grover for at least another week and longer if the GFS is the new King.
Mid December signal still there on 0Z GEFS, EPS, and GEPS. I will be disappointed if DMV sees no snow by the 20th, but I have been disappointed before...
WB 6z GEFS. Currently, I think our best hope for a significant storm is mid December (15-17) before the pattern appears to get warmer for the holidays. EPS is also signaling something during this timeframe...