Snowcrazed71

Guys if you look at the GFS 12z. It does show some differences that It hadn't before. The low placement is further west and stronger. The precipitation field hasn't changed with the placement of the low going more West. This is actually a good step in the right direction. I expect to see some more changes in the next two to three runs

I know we have talked about snow ratios. Everyrhing modeled uses a 10:1 ratio. With the temps logged in the 20s for most, wouldnt the snow ratios be a bit higher? Ps... I am mot expecting anything good on the GFS. Just my thoughts on that

I would say to just be confident LOL

Are there any Mets on here who could possibly enlighten us on what this storm might do? And why the models are in 2 different camps?

It's definitely south of three last run..but..deff north of the gfs

Got this from " the other forum " Just reading the info from the NWS tells me the GFS is way off on ts representation of this event. Not so much track but the intensity and precipitation field. We have wondered why the precip just dies out and @StretchCT, @Phased Vort and @MaineJay all have pointed out the weakening of the system. However the NWS is saying this is a developing and intensifying system. tells me the GFS isn't in its right mind and we can expect a giant run either tonight's 00Z or tomorrow when it gets back on track. We may be seeing those incredible numbers it was spitting out Friday night and early Saturday again. So I think we are going to see a huge GFS run that actually makes more sense in the next 24 hours or so.

I think your map is very reasonable. Didn't you have the map out for that storm back in early December? I think your map was pretty accurate

Had to take a 1 minute break..lol Nice to hear that this won't be our only shot at snow.

So... In the camp of the Euro ( a little further north ). Has the Canadian been right in the past..or the right camp?

Lol. I know, but Dr Dews likes to stir the pot and press everyone buttons. Theres always one ( or two ). They will keep doing what they do as that's what gives them a rise. My guess, its his only way to feel bigger and better than others. But all are welcome here?, even him. Oh.. Paige topper! GFS speaks, Euro tells him to shut up and get back into line! All is good. :-)

You're suck a WEENIE. Lol

Locked and loaded ( although the one for tomorrow I do think wrong surpass 1" in most areas in CT ). Checked out at the flakes of the air will be fun and gets us ready for Thursday

Who.. You can argue that the GFS didn't nail that system either. Like I said.. They both have there weaknesses and strengths. Best to combine the two.

It's been a toss up between the two I would say. When you think about it and how the GFS has fluctuated back and forth with each run, then compared with the Euro..they have pretty good similarities.

So..who's to be trusted?

A buddy of mine just posted them on FB. They look awesome. A lot of big hits.

Just checked. Thanks man. They look awesome btw

Silly question. What is the difference of the EPS and the Euro again.

Kuchie kuchie coo... Where are you..lol ( ok..it's late and I woke for this, so I'm a bit punchy )

Well.. Just woke up to peak at the Euro. Keeps the hopes alive. What I am seeing is the back and forth of the major models. Looking back, and splitting in the middle, we should see a lot of happy people. As gut wrenching as each model run can be, it's oddly exciting. Lol

What did the CMC show for snowfall? Hey.. This is my second page topper. What I want to see happen for us all is " Pop goes the weasel cuz the weasel goes Pop "

Would love to see the CMC maps. All these model fluctuations can cause insanity, but, then I thought, Hey.. We still have a lot od winter to go. So... Not to worry ( but I do hope for double digit snow for this storm ).

Hey guys. In reference to what Henry H said about the storm looping off Jersey. Apparently ( this is from another site mind you ), the CFS showed the storm doing a loop yesterday. You guys are pretty ruthless and opinionated regardless of Henry's. forecasting ( and even to one another ). Anyway.. Point is, dont judge others as none of you are perfect.

Again... There is no way that what we are seeing today is the final outcome..it even close. Will we have a storm... Check Will there be some big Snow totals.. Check Is it safer to say echo will be getting them yet... ABSOLUTLEY NOT There... I've said my peace

I totally agree to. There's a lot to back it up with the storm going back towatds the north Trend again. It's not like the high pressure is a super cold Arctic high pressure. Then I would say we have an issue with suppression. I believe with Juno, there was a much colder high pressure that suppressed the storm South. Can anybody confirm that, but I think I'm correct