Snowcrazed71

I have to laugh at some of the comments. If the models don't show something, the mood is, "we're done nothing's happening". If the models are showing there's a storm happening then the mood is, "this is awesome, let's get one more". I just think several people have winter fatigue at this point. If it happens, it happens. It's been a good winter thus far. Especially after having several years of lackluster Winters

Sunday? Is that something new?

Well.. the GFS led the way for the blizzard. So I have a bit more confidence in the GFS over the Euro for this upcoming storm

Doesn't it kind of seem a little more like the one we had back in January? That one kind of slid up through Tennessee in the states that surround into our area, but wasn't an actual Nor'easter storm. IDK ..

I have to laugh, some of my family have been texting me this morning with these ridiculous maps for next Tuesday showing a lot of snow. They're asking me if this is true and freaking out LOL. I told him breathe and wait until the weekend.

Let's talk about next Weeks possibility. That one seems like it could be bigger. Other than tomorrow morning...it stays fairly quiet ( with a few milder days thrown in for the weekend )

What did you wind up getting? Edit.. saw you reply to Kitz.

Bob on WVIT took out anything for Thursday night/ Friday. He said there was some agreement with the medium range models showing everything being pushed out South, but he's not writing it off. That storm next Wednesday looks like it could be another potential snowstorm

So it was a nice storm. Thought I'd wake up to a bit more, but I think we'll end up about 12 to 13 here. That's about it but nothing to shake a stick at. I know there's a bunch of people out in Massachusetts and Rhode Island that have crushed it, and I know they have been due. Still seems like there's more winter on the table. Enjoy the snowfall

So many Debbie downers .. but it looks amazing on radar and also on the satellite imagery.

I'll tell you, one thing I like about this guy is he sticks to his guns unless he knows he's wrong. With that said, the low is already west of where the GFS and Nam run from 12z were showing. Things look like they're on track.

Did someone already 06z NAM?!

Is the one Friday still looking Wintry? I believe the model run yesterday was more rain?

I was looking back on Nemo from 2013 right before the storm got going. The GFS was showing the storm well SE of where it actually was on radar. Point is, when we're getting this close, accuracy on the major models isn't really as important. If I do remember correctly, I was watching Joe fury the night before talking about some the NAM output for snowfall accumulations, and Joe was saying he's not sure he believes what it was projecting. We all know where we ended up in Connecticut. So the Nam snowfall projections wound up coming true.

Since we're within 24 hours of the start of the storm, doesn't it make more sense at this point anyway to use short-range models, not the long-range models like the Euro at GFS? I know the Nam is considered one of the short range models, is this also one of them?