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jaydreb

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Everything posted by jaydreb

  1. jaydreb
    Wow, that AO is almost off the charts!
  2. jaydreb
    It’s not that unusual. Look at the 1980s.
  3. jaydreb
    This weeks “coastal” also has precip problems, not just temps. Euro shows like .2” QPF through the weekend.
  4. jaydreb
    Next week’s tracking is going to be a replay of this past week.
  5. jaydreb
    So what happened? Yesterday there were positive posts about the upcoming look from around Feb. 6-13. Were the overnight runs that bad?
  6. jaydreb
    Right. My question was about the 6 hour qpf map that we were discussing earlier. I copied the wrong map in my post. Here is the map I’m asking about. 6 hrs before after this time? Sorry.
  7. jaydreb
    It’s the 6 hour period ending at the timestamp (i.e. 12z Feb 9), not starting, right?
  8. jaydreb
  9. jaydreb
    It should look the same no matter the hour. This storm looks like that because it is snowing over a large area in that 6 hr period. Its a large swath of precip.
  10. jaydreb
    Happy hour/fantasyland GFS looks good.
  11. jaydreb
    I know it’s been brought up many times, and no one wants to hear about waiting 10 more days, but 12z GEFS still says the week 2/6-13 is a period of interest.
  12. jaydreb
    100% correct.
  13. jaydreb
    CMC is mercifully wide right.
  14. jaydreb
    Looks like I might have picked a good weekend to be at Snowshoe. It might stay snow there on Sat on the GFS. The upslope event on Sunday looks legit.
  15. jaydreb
    Congrats NE.
  16. jaydreb
    I agree that we’re probably tracking a rainstorm at best, but it’s been interesting nonetheless.
  17. jaydreb
    Yeah, GFS is basically saying that those surface temps are too warm for snow. IMBY its 36, which probably isn’t good for anything but white rain. But column looks OK for areas like yours which are around 33-34.
  18. jaydreb
    GFS much closer to legit coastal. Still too warm though.
  19. jaydreb
    It’s OK, we’re focusing on the 2/8 HECS now.
  20. jaydreb
    GFS looks more like the Euro now. Not surprised.
  21. jaydreb
    GFS already looks a lot different from 18z at 500 at 96 hours.
  22. jaydreb
  23. jaydreb
    36 hour snowstorm that drops 2”? WTH?
  24. jaydreb
    12z EPS not looking bad in the long range. Hints of a -NAO and -EPO.
  25. jaydreb
    GEFS not too enthused about this weekend.
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