jaydreb
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Everything posted by jaydreb
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Changes to the Day 10 event on GFS. Looks like a 50/50 and -NAO.
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Great job today @psuhoffman.
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Not enough cold air and the track looks slightly too close to the coast? PSU mentioned in earlier posts that the ridging in Canada cuts us off from cross polar flow of fresh cold air. So we have to rely on whatever cold air has gotten trapped under the block, which may be stale by the time the storm arrives.
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GEFS also likes the Day 9-11 timeframe. Mixture of acceptable hits and rain storms showing up.
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Results in a rainstorm verbatim in January
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GEFS still says it’s going to be snowy. Someone should tell it’s Op member.
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Guess that explains the Euro.
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Euro shifted the heavier precip about a few hundred miles north. Not as good for us but it isn’t a total disaster.
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Main slug of precip seems quite a bit further north.
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12z GEFS solid. Supportive of the OP. I’ll let the experts break it down.
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P10 please.
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Really nice GEFS run at 0z. I thought it improved for next weekend and the period afterwards.
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Heck of a storm for ski resorts of VT, NH, etc.
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GFS is a step in the right direction. Snow in MD at 126. Sleet in DC/NOVA.
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Stronger high as well pressing down. Better CAD.
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What is the “Hi Res” Euro?
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At least Dallas picks up a nice 3-6” event.
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Big hit for Maine too.
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GFS trending the wrong way for next weekend.
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GFS eroding the cold much faster on this run. Not gonna make many friends.
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Euro a little colder than at 0z for next weekend. Should at least have some frozen on the front end and seems like a step towards the GFS. Not a bad run for PSU and jackpotville IMHO.
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It’s been mentioned but pretty good signal for an event around 1/22-23 on the GEFS. Some big hits in the mix along with some suppressed and rain solutions.
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Surface is torching though. Seems like the GFS OP always resembles the worst of the ensemble members. Edit: Sorry for the whining.
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I know it’s been mentioned but that 6z GEFS run is total weenieness. Lots of big hits.
