Toekneeweather

Gfs through 72 hours is definitely north of its same time with the last run. Let’s see how it finishes?

Gfs para 6z is a hit!

I like the gfs para if it stays south I’m going to get a bit worried but if it trends north we’ll you know it .

Let me ask you guys something... would you rate the gfs or Canadian higher? January 4th snowstorm last year Canadian hunted it before anyone else

You’re right I’m sorry I’d take that run right now

You’re going to get one of those blizzards and we’re missing everything. I need snow now James I’m feening!

Lock? We’re 7 days out... 6 for them come on when is day 6 a lock!

Times are rough huh James ?

I’m

My thinking right now.

If I ever wanted to see a model look 144 hrs away I would choose this!

This reminds me of January 23rd 2016. Id love someone to pull out the euro and GFS runs from 6-7 days before the storm hit

It’s very far off timing wise so I wouldn’t worry about it too much. I’d make a full time investment on this storm if Thursday comes in snowy if not than I’d give up on it entirely. Euro is definitely not far off just the main cold kinda leaves by the time the low has an movement north.

How’s the euro look any northward movement?

Gfs is the worst model it’s pronably worst than navgem lets just say the euro looked a lot better than its previous runs

I was just going through the latest GFS para and GFS and to me it looks like plenty of opportunities. They all miss as of right now but I counted about 3 strong systems that are coming east, how far north they get is up to Mother Nature but we need to just take a step back and realize that we have so many storm chances to close out this obviously record precipitation year. It’ll be decently cold after tomorrow so chances will start rolling in. It won’t be so cold so I don’t think suppression will come in but the blocking could make it drier. But if we do get hit, we will get a good hit! and winter doesnt begin for another 3 weeks roughly.

Luckily we’re so far away that there’s plenty of time for this to change! By Tuesday I would really look elsewhere if were still looking at suppression

Yeah this isn’t cutting, the confluence will keep pushing this down south. Exactly what’s happening with the euro run. Suppressed to the max

Gfs para is suppressed again. I would think that high in the Atlantic would actually help bring the low more north. We’ll have to keep an eye on that squished high pressure if it has enough pressure to make our low pressure run up the coast instead of going out to sea like the GFS para is showing. The gfs and cmc had that idea a bit more than the gfs para.

Gfs and cmc look better definitely still a bit suppressed and warmer than I’d like to see but it’s so far away that those details don’t even matter. I’m more interested in what the GFS para is going to depict and of course the euro

Both GFS and PARA GFS were suppressed and missed south big time for next weekends system

T I haven’t seen Yakutsk ever at -80 but I’m sure they’ve hit. Yakutsk did hit 101 in 2011 all time high. But it doesn’t hit every year. It does seem to have 90’s every year. I would love to visit that city during the summer though for some reason. The two small cities you just mentioned hold for two of the coldest temperatures in the northern hemisphere coldest: Oymyakon reached −67.7 °C (−89.9 °F) 2nd coldest: Verkhoyansk −67.6 °C (−89.7 °F) by the way para gfs was suppressed for next week.

It’s Oymyakon and I think most times Yakutsk has the coldest temperature before the rest of these smallercities or towns. It tells me it’s going to get really cold soon. Yakutsk must be a beautiful city during the summer. Crystal clear blue skies with a nice breeze with many days reaching into the 80’s

It should be -50 in Yakutsk Siberia Monday morning their time just before sunrise around 9:17am ive been paying attention to this city’s temperatures for a long time probably ten years and I don’t ever remember it this cold & this early. Another 20 days really of having less sun and it than it finally starts retreating back. Of course for us we gain day light but some of these cities don’t have sun weeks and possibly months after winter solstice.