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A-L-E-K

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Everything posted by A-L-E-K

  1. Rapidly destabilizing downstream now
  2. Should be a different sub anyway
  3. yeah feels brutal, not sure this debris is gonna matter much
  4. strong llj really helping to sustain what remains of overnight MCS into N. IA right now but it should crap the bed here as the jet fades
  5. i find the 3km believable, it also really allows dps to pool in the area Saturday along the remnant boundary with widespread upper 70s
  6. heat wave is really boiling down to a single hot day imby but Saturday is gonna be the real deal
  7. incredible dude^ euro holding firm the airmass over the area is going to be extremely juicy, very moist and strong llj
  8. This setup is a definite type and these mcs do have a tendency to bite hard right, especially with good llj support as advertised
  9. This is an early bird lake shelf watch
  10. GFS isn't that different, timing is obv about as unfavorable as it gets but given the strong llj and airmass might mitigate a bit
  11. Euro still really bullish on the linear MCS sunday morning, has incredible shelf cloud potential if it works out obv
  12. still almost all wearing masks when out of the houses here
  13. really like the idea of a linear MCS riding down the lake early sunday morning on the euro, hope it verifies
  14. excessive rain is what we do best so you're probably on the right track, just like that NAM comes in 2-3 across metro the GOES16 IR loop of the IA diving SE and merging is pretty slick, especially as the remnant is not being lifted back north into the main MCV https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/?parms=regional-midwest-15-96-1-100-1&checked=map&colorbar=undefined
  15. yeah overnight MCS merger took place in a traditionally bad spot for a us and has spewed a ton of a debris on the plus side, IR shows tops warming rapidly already and MCV track for later still looks workable
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