Dendrimer77

43 minutes ago, Potvinsux said:

Just got to Snowshoe.  Will see what tomorrow brings.  Just below freezing here.

Dude, you're at ground zero for the best upslope tomorrow and Saturday. Enjoy the awesome

40 minutes ago, jonjon said:

Another legit snow headed this way tomorrow -- NWS Pit calling for 4-8" and NWS CRW calling for 5-10"

I know I've been harping on how our scarce snows this year seem to be timing out for weekenders well, but this is amazing.   One more good ski weekend (at least).

Yes, it is amazing.  I was up at Whitegrass this past weekend the skiing was excellent, although snow was melting fast on Sunday.  Another great storm coming your way!

10 minutes ago, jonjon said:

We got over 8" of snow last night in our area.  Still coming down and should have snow chances through Saturday.  At least one last wintry weekend if anyone is looking for snow adventures.  Skiing in Canaan should be great this weekend!

Music to my ears! Will be there Saturday. Doing the sled trail at blackwater Saturday afternoon then Whitegrass Sunday. Here's hoping to snow all day and tomorrow for y'all!

1 minute ago, jonjon said:

We're expecting a low end "meh" with possible upside to "hmmmmm"

 

In all seriousness, I haven't paid much attention.  The Fearless Weatherman expects 6-12" over the 4 day period.  See https://whitegrass.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/02/fearlessfeb26.txt

Thank you sir.  I saw that forecast; hopefully The Fearless Weatherman knows his stuff!

16 minutes ago, jonjon said:

I expect it to start snowing in several hours.

@jonjon Going up to Davis for Blackwater sledding and hopefully some X-country skiing Sat-Mon.  What are the local mets up there expecting in terms of upslope snow totals?  

You know it's a lame winter when the digital snow thread hasn't hit two pages yet. But, I feel it might just start hopping soon. Where is the FV3 when you need it?

I'll fall on the sword: Global Effing Warming...see three words instead of two

7 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said:

CWG says 2” in Charlottesville. Not bad!

Just measured 3" in northern Albemarle county! Radar says freezing rain and sleet, but it's been all snow here.

6 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said:

Local Charlottesville met is saying it is flurrying outside their office. Tweet was sent about 10 minutes ago.

Yes, I can confirm that it just started lightly snowing in Charlottesville.  We've had Virga for the past two hours.

12 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said:

Showed up on the last EURO run too but there could be some snow showers on Wednesday too, verbatim. Snow on snow 

So happy this one looks to lay the hammer from Cho up through the rest of the subforum. I'll give everyone a sneak preview of the (hopefull) rippage from northern Cho tomorrow

Wish I was here. We all wish we could just squeak out a little snow and the WV mountains fart out flakes seemingly every other day.

https://www.snowshoemtn.com/media-room/silver-creek-live-cam

Just had a dime sized hail storm just Northeast of Charlottesville...lots of wind, some tree damage and power outages

Closing in on 2 inches just north of Charlottesville....ol' Man winter didn't shaft us down here after all!

Just making sure everyone knows that Charlottesville is shielded by anti-snow sucktitude. Literally snowing all around us but not here. We have missed out on the last three snow events. Thanks Appalachians!

47 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said:

dang. Not quite sure why this front doesn't seem to want to work out for Central VA but it really does not. 3K NAM straight blanked me. Still time to change.

No doubt man, not getting the fropa love down here in Cville

Just now, NorthArlington101 said:

Pavement finally trying to cave in Charlottesville. Been rough so far.

Hanging around 30, can’t measure right now.

Hopefully we get up in the dark blues by 1am. Epic winter so far. Big snow back on Dec 9 and again now with plenty more opps around the corner. Count our blessings...this is awesome

8 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said:

 

CHO really doesn’t respond to radar returns. It’s inexplicable.

 

I know, right? Been that way since I've lived here for ten years. Not sure ifts the blue ridge messing with it or what

1 inch in Cville, 29F...still coming but WAA almost toboift out.....then we wait

10 hours ago, NorthArlington101 said:

28/19 in Arlington.

Decided to head back down to my dorms today so I’ll be doing obs form Charlottesville by the time the storm gets here. I know some people dislike CHO but I hope everyone gets the best storm possible.

Bring it. Not sure why anyone would dislike CHO unless they are a Hokies

8 minutes ago, WesternFringe said:

It was denied even 36 hours out as recently as the 12/9/18 storm for the southern half of the subforum.  Only the Canadian had it sniffed out at that range.

You're right about that, Euro didn't have the northern push of that storm well modeled at all IMO. Crazier things have happened.

31 minutes ago, Potvinsux said:

Can't be any closer to the cutoff but Snowshoe is in the snow now.  21° windy.  Soaring Eagle is in the distance for those who know the resort.

Sweet, ski free up there today, right? If we resident I think. Enjoy the winter bliss up there.

10 minutes ago, wawarriors4 said:

Good deal! Think CHO is in a pretty good spot!

We can only hope! I'm in cvill and we got the shaft on the November snow. We all need a solid shellacking up in this subforum to get the season rolling right.

Yesterday! Snow in cvill!!

7 hours ago, NorthArlington101 said:

I realize no one cares but the high-res RGEM is insistent on some convective snow showers in Central/Southern VA Wednesday. 3k NAM was also pretty nice.

Are you in Charlottesville as well? Me too... hoping for at least some pitty flakes to make up for the shafting we got from the November storm.

1 hour ago, schinz said:

I do a lot of observing and not too much talking around here, but in this case it appeared to me that all of the evidence anyone needed was right in front of them.  JB said 2 days before the storm to take the Euro snow totals and take 75% of them to be real close.  He obviously took a lot more into account than just looking at the model but what I was amazed most at was how much "in denial" so many on here and in the media weather forecasting business were.  Look at the model consensus for accumulating snows that we had, for multiple runs, with some minor fluctuations, particularly in the last 24 hours before the event.  Yet, all I heard all over the place was "climo doesn't support this," "The ground is warm and it won't accumulate," "It's November, I will be happy with dusting," etc. etc.  All along, we had great moderate consensus staring right at us.  JMO, maybe the facts and model evaluation that everyone always does should not be outweighed by history, climo, and all those other factors that made a lot of people not see what was right in front of us.

Yes, but some of those models didn't get everything right. For example, although the HRRR handled the northern tier of VA well with it's consistent snow prediction, it crapped the bed down here around Charlottesville. Never got any of the sweet snow the HRRR was trying to sell.