Save the itchy algae!

So are we just gun shy on starting a thread? Western parts of the forum are just a few days out.


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Testing…
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2 hours ago, Blizzard22 said:

I don't care how cold it is in March, it is always difficult to get snow especially in the lower elevations. 

Since I moved to the valley in 2015 March has been my second snowiest month on average.

We’re over an inch here in Farragut.  It sticks to everything, it’s an icy mess.  

1 hour ago, Carvers Gap said:

I will be glad to share some GFS/GEFS stuff, but we probably should have everyone sign a waiver before viewing them.  LOL.  The 18z CFSv2 says, "What January thaw?"

I signed that waver when I created my account.  Spill it Carvers!

I know it won’t happen but there’s a major hurricane approaching Florida in the long range GFS.  
 

F* that mess.

Yeah I’m just going to hold off with my thoughts for a while,  things were looking good until I opened my mouth then next thing you know everything went poof.

The gfs has been consistently showing a tropical signature the end of Halloween week.  Given it’s placement and climatology I wouldn’t be surprised to see some unusual weather in the nov 7-10th range.

8 hours ago, nrgjeff said:

Yeah @Save the itchy algae! it'll be windy through the Mountains this weekend. I think 15-30 mph in the Valley; mostly 15-20 mph with G30 mph. Should (I hope) be too early to screw up mountain leaves. 

Then one can check rainfall forecasts at WPC or NHC. I hate what's happening in Cuba; Ian acts like no land is there. I'm also quite concerned for Florida. 

Just got back from prepping the other home for the storm, the Floridians don’t care in my area…was the only one sandbagging.  With the track shifting south east they may take it more seriously now.

The locals are saying Ian is a Hurricane Charley clone.

Curious what Hurricane Ian does to the area.  Historically Tropical systems have a way of setting in fall some years but summer has already largely eased off any way.  Could be some blustery days ahead for higher elevations.  

On 9/13/2022 at 8:51 PM, Daniel Boone said:

Right with you brother. Very depressing. I'm rooting for tropical activity or something to throw a monkey wrench into forecasted pattern. 

Oops

I’m supposed to be driving to the beach on Friday but there’s no way I’m missing this storm.  Wife will hate me but Florida can wait.

19 minutes ago, PowellVolz said:

They still trying to figure out how their dusting to an inch ended up 2-4” in Knox Co.


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Apparently TYS only recorded 0.1” yesterday.  I call shenanigans.

5 minutes ago, Save the itchy algae! said:

In Farragut we had a light dusting then got dry slotted for a bit.  It then began to rain about an hour ago where it melted everything.  It has been drizzling but now it seems more like sleet and maybe some rain, no flakes.

I spoke too soon, we’re back to a snow /sleet mix.  Feels colder.

In Farragut we had a light dusting then got dry slotted for a bit.  It then began to rain about an hour ago where it melted everything.  It has been drizzling but now it seems more like sleet and maybe some rain, no flakes.

17 minutes ago, PowellVolz said:

36/24/36


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Only if she 5’3”

7 minutes ago, PowellVolz said:

Yes. Looks like it’s in a good position in Mississippi to Alabama but rides a little NE to north Georgia. A ideal track would be from Birmingham to Atlanta or something around that area. 50 miles south of where it is would be really nice


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The current look isn’t bad to me, it’s just knowing the dreaded nw shift always happens right at the end that’s tough.

Just now, Kasper said:

WVLT says no worries just rain for the valley, all the way to Knox lol! I would like to know what they are looking at.

History.

Is it just me or is that vort riding behind the main storm looking pretty good too?

Not counting the 18z gfs, this has reminded me of the 4-corners lows that people in the plains love for big snows.  Interesting to see things shifted so far to the east.  

3 minutes ago, Holston_River_Rambler said:

I think in the case of our area (specifically central parts of the eastern great valley), we want a low to pop around New Orleans or Mobile and make a run at Cape Hatteras. TBH we don't want any sort of a hand off, since even if it was cold, that would hurt any TROWL/ deform band as the hand off occurs. 

Well let’s hope this was just happy hour gfs doing it’s thing then.  It doesn’t come close to the gulf this run.

Would we need the handoff to happen sooner? Or would that just cause an apps runner?

4 minutes ago, VOLtage said:

Finally starting to get some decent snow

Maryville, right?

Anybody in Farragut with a report?

Maybe a 1/4” on the ground here at the hospital in Powell on Emory road.  A round of rain moved in earlier and wiped out the snow around 3.  The snow that’s falling now feels like it isn’t going anywhere.