Could be some of that, but the pattern is so amped up - adding tropical heat into a favorable synoptic pattern could definitely lead to rapid deepening. The trough coming into the West has near record low 500 mb heights for June in the PacNW:
Ensembles certainly support the heavy rain threat. That Euro verbatim would also be a higher end tornado threat Tuesday evening ahead of the stronger SSW winds early Wed.
Agree a slight risk upgrade would've been reasonable given an enhanced risk ceiling across a small corridor. I like the overlay of shear and instability across northern and possibly central IL. Chicago is likely in play too given early AM fog will clear quickly.
Crowded bars immediately after the ruling - only in WI. That partisan state Supreme Court has always been a hot mess.
https://wkow.com/2020/05/14/crowded-bars-seen-across-wisconsin-after-safer-at-home-extension-struck-down/
Anxious to see updates for the past week. Many of the areas relaxing the rules now, I imagine, are in for a rude awakening.
https://www.brookings.edu/blog/the-avenue/2020/04/29/covid-19-is-expanding-further-into-trump-country/
Because it started in the larger cities where people were traveling globally more often. It's fairly obvious the spread was efficient in areas with public transportation.
Cut the N vs S bs. The civil war ended ages ago, and I think we all know who won.
WI and SC are neck and neck in terms of cases per 100,000 people.
https://www.statista.com/statistics/1109004/coronavirus-covid19-cases-rate-us-americans-by-state/