Albedoman
-
Posts
1,301 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Profiles
Blogs
Forums
American Weather
Media Demo
Store
Gallery
Posts posted by Albedoman
-
-
2 hours ago, LVLion77 said:
0.68” total here in sw lehigh county. It’s certainly better than nothing, but definitely a bit disappointing. We definitely needed a lot more than that. Hopefully we can add at least 1/4” or so and do well next Monday.
.you verified my forecast of .60 yesterday. Thanks Still thinking snow for the weekend. LMAO
-
30 minutes ago, RedSky said:
.30"
one more round of showers in the next hour, should reach .60 like I first thought. Accurately predicting 1-2 in rains are not in the cards for another few weeks. It's like predicting a 6" snow event ---NADA. The drought lives on. At least things will green up now better late than never.
-
First rumble of thunder this year. Raining steadily for about 10 so far minutes. Finally hear rain on the roof. The spring bulbs and grass are going to love this nitrogen infused rain. Convective rainfall infuses tons of natures free nitrogen fertilizer into the ground for the lawns to quickly green up. Just what the doctor ordered. Goodbye yellow grass.
-
oh its coming like i said earlier wam bam thank you mam. 2 inches - no way 1 inch remote possibility likely .60 in of rain. keep the spring flowers budding and green up some grass areas. No drought buster for sure. I am waiting for the comments of a 3-6+ in snow event in less than 10 days on both the GFS and CMC evening runs ---what a joke
-
9 hours ago, Albedoman said:
these rains will not help the drought. Its wam bam thank you mam type of rain event. consisting of a 5-10 minute moderate to heavy rain squall and then 8-12 hours of drizzle and light showers. No more than an inch if we are lucky. This rain event will only help keep the spring bulbs flowering and take some of the yellow out of the lawns. We really need moderate all day rains with these cloudy shitty days we are having. We have so many of these type of cloudy days with no precip in the past 6-8 months, I stopped counting. Todays blown forecasted temps also do not get the spirits up too. The models keep puking 1 in snows for the end of the month and next Friday will be only in the low 40's for highs. It will only rain one day after Sunday--- next Thursday before the cold front which come through dry. The drought lives on. I see more brush fires and red flag warnings by the end of the week too if we get less than a half of inch of rain tomorrow. I did see one budding maple tree today whoopee.
From this mornings 4am discussion: hope this happens MT Holly lets cross our fingers. This will help green the lawns bigtime and get water in the soil profile
However, cannot rule out some stronger gusts if a low-topped convective line can actually organize. While heavy rain is possible and rainfall rates for a brief period could approach an inch per hour, not really expecting any flooding concerns given how dry it has been. Rainfall amounts when all is said and done will be around an 1-1.5" with amounts up to 2" possible near the coast. -
these rains will not help the drought. Its wam bam thank you mam type of rain event. consisting of a 5-10 minute moderate to heavy rain squall and then 8-12 hours of drizzle and light showers. No more than an inch if we are lucky. This rain event will only help keep the spring bulbs flowering and take some of the yellow out of the lawns. We really need moderate all day rains with these cloudy shitty days we are having. We have so many of these type of cloudy days with no precip in the past 6-8 months, I stopped counting. Todays blown forecasted temps also do not get the spirits up too. The models keep puking 1 in snows for the end of the month and next Friday will be only in the low 40's for highs. It will only rain one day after Sunday--- next Thursday before the cold front which come through dry. The drought lives on. I see more brush fires and red flag warnings by the end of the week too if we get less than a half of inch of rain tomorrow. I did see one budding maple tree today whoopee.
-
-
1 hour ago, PhiEaglesfan712 said:
Even lower than spring 2002?
yes. The are sections in the Little Lehigh Creek in the upper reaches where its barely deep enough for trout to swim right now. The spring base flows are down big time. There has been no snow melt recharge for the entire watershed while LCA and the industries for 50 to 100 water, soda and other beverage bottling companies plus the food manufacturers are pumping the living shit out of the groundwater system in Upper Macungie Township. Every single bottle of Deer Park, coke, DR pepper, 7 up, Pierre, Nestle, and others for the people in the entire NE USA are bottled right here using the Little Lehigh ground and surface water , the cleanest urbanized stream in the country. Believe me, you may think I am Bull shitting you guys, but the industrial people as well as LCA are in panic mode up here. Rationing water between the industries and the residents may become an issue soon if we do not get some decent rains.
-
3 hours ago, Kevin Reilly said:
Any idea how Bushkill Falls are fairing up north may take a look and do some hiking up there in April.
sorry do not know as they are closed. I expect they water is down because there is no snow pack anywhere except man made.
https://www.alltrails.com/trail/us/pennsylvania/bushkill-falls-red-and-blue-trail
-
1
-
-
Just now, Albedoman said:
make this say "bring rain" and here you go
-
1
-
-
-
2 hours ago, RedSky said:
It's quickly becoming more
dry by the day. Local mulch business had their mountainous mulch piles spontaneously ignite the last two days with many fire engines. Need a logo for drought guy we can shine in the sky like the bat signal.
the levels in the Little Lehigh are the lowest I have everseen in the last 40+ years for the spring. Its rough as the base flows of the stream are srt to dry up quickly as the vegetation and trees come out of dormancy. Its only going to get worse. The dense morning fog by the end of the week will help some with the extremely dry humidity but we really need a stationary front over us for two weeks at this rate. The recent dry winds of 35 + are killing us. . I see nothing significant until April. An onion snow will do nothing for the drought too. we need a 16 inch wet snow to at least get the grass green. I have never seen this yellow in march ever.
-
On 3/6/2025 at 10:46 AM, LVblizzard said:
Where is drought guy to give his thoughts on yesterday’s rain?
still here busy today with my job. I said this on Monday and I was close ----New years eve all over again on Wednesday evening folks That is the last time we had t storms and significant rains. 1-3 inches of rain will be a billion dollar rain event for farmers and landscapers in eastern PA and will definitely help this years crops and finally reestablished green lawns again. However, this rainfall event will only put a dent in the long term drought but it will be a significant dent in getting water back into the ground. The combination of warmer temps of 50 degrees on Tuesday into the weekend with the heavy rain will thaw out the entire frozen soil profile quickly. With no extreme overnight cold temps like over the past weekend, the greener lawns and budding of trees, daffodils and other bulbs popping up will be noticeable by the end of the weekend. Their is also a real good chance of a squall line with severe t- storms, straight line winds and a severe t- storm tornado watch being issued. Best potential weather event all winter. But after this event, it is back to the SOS again with wind and dry temps. At least the fire danger will be gone.----
I was only wrong on the fire threat. The last two days were brutal with relative humidities below 30% and 40 mph wind gusts. and the fire threat remains. Any soil moisture has been somewhat removed from the rain and will be really gone for sure by next Wednesday with temps in the mid 60's. . The BS showers on Thursday will be pittance in the bucket. Mt Holly issues a special statement for tomorrow too about the fire threat. W really need a week of cloudy moderate rainfall for 5 + days instead of these similar Santa Ana winds downsloping the Blue MTs. The pattern has to break soon. My lawn is a little greener but is not much to say. Mostly yellow. The bulbs are popping up but again not remarkable.
-
21 hours ago, Albedoman said:
THis is what I think of this model run.
yep after 3 runs the MECS is gone . I love this video clip
-
1
-
-
3 hours ago, LVblizzard said:
18z GFS doubles down. MECS for the LV/Poconos with warning level snow down to I-95. No support whatsoever from any other model.
no support from me until 48-72 hours and it shows up on the NAM Even that is a stretch after this winter. Next-----
-
hey right on the 12Z
-
1
-
-
13 minutes ago, Kevin Reilly said:
Yea right lol…. That set up is so flawed for snow.
1. No cold high up north
2. primary almost to western PA
3. 981 cruising near DCA ene way too close as warmer air floods off the Atlantic.
4. Oh look a Great Lakes low.
5. sun angle etc relative surface warmth.
6. 18z will be 66 and sunny with 25% humidity and west southwest winds gusting 30-35 with scattered fires.
I will one up you and say wind advisory criteria will be met with a brief shower as the LP moves away . Personally this is graupel type of storm event as unstable cold air advects. I tell you what really made me LOL almost made me piss my pants was the aftermath of this BS storm event with the temps as seen below. When is the last time we saw -4 temps in middle march?
-
2
-
-
THis is what I think of this model run.
-
1
-
-
New years eve all over again on Wednesday evening folks That is the last time we had t storms and significant rains. 1-3 inches of rain will be a billion dollar rain event for farmers and landscapers in eastern PA and will definitely help this years crops and finally reestablished green lawns again. However, this rainfall event will only put a dent in the long term drought but it will be a significant dent in getting water back into the ground. The combination of warmer temps of 50 degrees on Tuesday into the weekend with the heavy rain will thaw out the entire frozen soil profile quickly. With no extreme overnight cold temps like over the past weekend, the greener lawns and budding of trees, daffodils and other bulbs popping up will be noticeable by the end of the weekend. Their is also a real good chance of a squall line with severe t- storms, straight line winds and a severe t- storm tornado watch being issued. Best potential weather event all winter. But after this event, it is back to the SOS again with wind and dry temps. At least the fire danger will be gone.
Once the cold front tracks through the area late Wednesday night, precipitation will diminish as drier air begins to move in from the west. In terms of rainfall amounts, expecting between 0.5-1.0 inches across the Coastal Plain. Across the higher terrain of northeast PA and NJ, including the Lehigh Valley, rainfall amounts between 1-2 inches are expected. Localized higher amounts could be possible.
-
3 hours ago, Ralph Wiggum said:
Folks...
LP not deep enuf Give me a 970 LP
-
2
-
-
15 minutes ago, Kevin Reilly said:
We should start a thread looks like a 984 mb low in the Ohio Valley wind rain severe thunderstorms 2-3” of rain and 1-2’ of snow in northwest flank.
why not we got nothing to lose at this point. Love to see the secondary LP form at the BM and smack us with a anafront MIller B storm event of 4-6+ inch of wetsnow if it would stall out. Just wishful thinking.
-
1
-
1
-
-
Next wednesday rains/t storms could place a significant dent into the drought conditions. Highs near 60+ with moderate to heavy rains will help melt the soil horizons frozen conditions quickly and get some much needed water through to the root structures of the trees and plants for budding and leafing out in mid April. Believe me, this is a multi billion dollar rain event for farmers and landscapers. Lets hope it comes to fruition and we just don't get burned with another .25 in light rain/drizzle event
-
6 hours ago, Birds~69 said:
With today's rainfall, the drought should be over.
Still some mounds in parking lots and may make it through the weekend w/highs in the 30s. After that, probably on life support/hospice...
54F/Cloudy
yeah right. Goading me again LOL. All this rain did is pollute the living hell out of the streams with salt water runoff. The trout are literally dying of thirst the water is so salty. No significant rains or snow events for the next two weeks does not bode well for any type of drought relief. This is the yellowest I have ever seen the grass at this time of the year- usually is it is greening up real nice. Hell my pussy willow will not evenbloom- the bees are going to die off.
-
1
-
-
57 minutes ago, RedSky said:
Sinkhole problems on 202
never ends. Tons of concrete will be used with steel cables and wire mesh. Built the King of Prussia mall parking lot on a cavern? More to come as the drought will worsen this problem as the groundwater tables fall to record lows.
-
1
-
E PA/NJ/DE Spring 2025 Obs/Discussion
in Philadelphia Region
Posted
I am buckled up for another crashing defeat of a warning level snowfall event. 1-3 inches if we are absolutely lucky as hell. Need to see what DR No says on Thursday