Albedoman

The winter deserves an A- with a big the help of a huge class curve given by the teacher based on all of the misses the last three weeks with potential storms. Its like we have three bad tests of potential winter storms and the teacher is throwing them out to raise the average class scores to achieve an A- with the cold temps and snow cover. lol

thanks, maybe if I get time in the next few days I will

Its time you guys know who I really am. I have hidden my past experiences but you will hear much more about me in the upcoming months as I am dealing directly with data centers in municipalities. MY name Mike Siegel aka the "albedoman -drought guy whatever" . I chose albedoman because my Uncle had to deal directly with the albedo effect when forecasting the potential for forest fires and temp regimes studies in the western US. He wrote several papers on this topic as well as others and at one time directed the entire Western Region of NOAA. This person underlined below is my weather mentor and also is my Uncle. He is 83. I have degree in physical geography- concentration in atmospheric sciences and environmental science (not too many meteorology schols back in the late 70's) with a minor in geology and post graduate work in satellite imagery with a ton of hours and certifications in Environmental science and urban planning. I was also an air traffic controller in the Navy. My resume is several pages long and have written magazine articles and publish papers at Penn State dealing with stormwater issues involving bioengineering and recently authored Lowhill Township's Zoning and Land Development Ordinances as their planning consultant. I have been around the block. I recently came out of retirement in 2025 to serve as the Township Manager of Lowhill Township, Lehigh County by accepting an offer I just could not refuse. I did retire in 2010 from Lower Providence Township in Montgomery County as their Director of Planning and Development and was the Building Codes directer and zoning officer. David E. Olsen was a meteorologist associated with the U.S. National Weather Service (NWS). Historical U.S. government and NOAA technical documents list him as the author of meteorological forecast reports such as “Forecasting Maximum Temperatures at Helena, Montana” dating back to the late 1960s, indicating he worked in operational forecasting and climate-related analysis for the Weather Service. Individuals like Olsen typically served as Meteorologist or Meteorologist in Charge at an NWS Weather Forecast Office, producing forecast guidance and contributing to regional temperature forecasts and related climatological studies.

https://www.mcall.com/2026/02/07/giant-chip-split-high-winds-inside-scoop-coopersburg/

I am still on board with this prediction guys, My biggest concern is really severe ice jamming and floods by March. If this pattern even hints at relaxing and opening the Gulf of America with moisture, we are in some deep flooding shit folks with ice jammming. Bridges may go down throughout the region and the folks on Adams Island on the Lehigh River in the LV, their homes will be destroyed and or flooded. The ice jams that I remeber while I was the Twp manager in Lower Mt Bethel Township, I saw mobile homes and cars 40 feet in the air stuck in trees. Its going to be really really bad if we get a quick warmup with flooding rains after this pattern change, especially around the 22nd time period.

Pattern change 6-12" 2/14-17 time period

while all of you are worried about the next 2-6 inch snow event, I am telling you all right now and I have been saying this for two months, being laughed and joked about is the potential for record breaking Ice jams on the Delaware and other rivers that are going to be FEMA disaster damaging. Even the Little Lehigh creek IMBY which is 85% spring fed and has been never frozen in my entire 40 years that I have lived year, is frozen solid. That is bad folks. Ice jam warnings will be issued because you all know that one good warm spell will be coming toward Presidents Day. How bad is this situation now? As a member of the EOC in Lehigh County and a Township manager this situation is becoming pretty fricking serious right now. Need proof? Well here you go in the link below that is not public knowledge. Also , nobody is talking about saltwater intrusion on the Delaware right now? Many muncipalities may be out of drinking water real soon with the ice jams as water relases cannot be performed. As of late 2024 and early 2025, saltwater intrusion on the Delaware River has been a concern due to low freshwater inflows, with the salt front shifting upstream towards the Philadelphia International Airport. While it has reached positions similar to 2016 levels, management efforts, including reservoir releases, are actively managing salinity levels. Location of Salt Front: The salt front has moved approximately 20 miles north of its typical position, closer to Philadelphia, PA, and Camden, NJ. Cause: Driven by drought conditions and reduced freshwater flow, allowing for higher upstream migration of sea salt. Action Taken: The Delaware River Basin Commission (DRBC) is using water from upstream reservoirs to push the salt front back down. Water Quality: Despite the intrusion, officials have been able to protect drinking water intakes, although the situation requires active management. https://view.em.silvi.com/?vawpToken=RX366I5XGK2UVGXG6FTSFNFRJE.130014

without proper data sampling, this model watching is useless. The NYC forum posters are jumping of the Verazzano right now after tonights runs. If the 12Z models tomorrow do show some slight improvment, this will be a fish storm. I would want to see the OZ NAM run tommorrow night at 72 hours. IF the LP is at the benchmark then, game on. Going to bed

Jan 2016 is the best comparison 96 was a differnent animal as it dug in more with the trough and sucked up the GOA moisture too

the most appropriate video clip for all of us right now----rolling rolling keep those doggies coming

Albedo man says-- Ain't going to do jack shit - pessimistic attitude gotta love it? LOL

This would cause this biggest G dam flood and end in chance of a drought for a year. 96 all over again. I am done with snow for awhile. A federal disaster would have to be issued and the resulting melt and thaw with any rain over a couple of inches would blow out every fricking bridge on the Delaware. Next big worrk folks other than this BS run of the Euro, ice jams. The base flows are low in the streams, nearly 2ft of snow on the ground north of S Mtn and 3-5 days of below zero weather and highs not even cracking 26 degrees. The Delaware, Lehigh and especially the Susquehanna are frozen over now or close to it. The media is going to go crazy. I did not say Schulkill because the cooling waters from the industrial treatments plants from Limerick ,Oaks and Reading may keep the water warm enough in that river from freezing over.

This mix should be this way until 9pm as the secondary starts wrapping up. As it pulls away 2-4 in may happen in the LV. Then comes the serious drifting and really cold temps again

back to snow nice flakes Over a foot now.

Just kidding. I was criticized a few days of this threat and many posters said i was off my rocker that this was not going to be a problem. They will find out the hard way tommorow evening when the blowing snow may keep the schools closed Tuesday too.