TARHEELPROGRAMMER88

2 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said:

The 18z Euro was not much different than the 12z. Fairly steady,  maybe a small tick with the Low to the west but not much.

Map?

Globals will start showing this soon. Big storm headed towards Carolina.

I think we should buckle up, as we are in for a good storm. We shall see.

3 inches here in Garner/Clayton. Me and the daughter enjoyed it. I hope everyone got a good snow. It was a fun event and an absolute blast to track. See you all at the next snow event. 

Raleigh is likely going to bust. Congratulations to those who got good snows. I am really happy for Mitch, they deserve it down there.

Snow is not really impressive in Garner/Clayton. Slow accumulation and small pieces. 

Snow is sticking here in Garner/Clayton. Covering stuff everywhere. Heard it was blizzard like in Sanford earlier haha.

Flurries in Garner/Clayton area. 

7 minutes ago, eyewall said:

Yeah that is what we have over here by Oakwood.

The moisture is building in Bama and Georgia. Interesting.

3 minutes ago, wake4est said:

RGEM = boom.  

Models keep increasing and shifting west, interesting.

Snow mixing in near Garner

Just now, CaryWx said:

euro telling other models--I got game too

Totals for RDU? Map?

Yep, looks like models are moving towards the RGEM model.

1 minute ago, NorthHillsWx said:

At this point, which models have had the least run to run volatility? That’s what I would pay attention to. I’m looking at you, RGEM/CMC and GFS/EURO to an extent. Blend those and I believe you have your answer here. NAM has been all over the place and I do not trust any other short range CAM inside of 12 hours

RGEM has been really consistent. 

Also, NAM looks different. Not sure if good or bad.

NAM expanded the precip shield much further NW. Interesting.

I think RDU ends up with 3 to 5 inches. Ne NC and SE VA is the 6-8 range. Fayetteville with 1-2 inches. This is only snow totals.

ECMWF is caving to the GFS. Good night folks. The UKMET did the same. It was nice while it lasted I guess.

Pessimistic 

Just now, PackGrad05 said:

They also said:   Wednesday 8 p.m. update: New model runs mean more could see precipitation

Hedging bets? It reminds me of Rollo the Viking. On his death bed he had some of his slaves sacrificed to Odin and gave gold to the church. Lol

2 minutes ago, Sandstorm94 said:

Yikes, HRRR busted through 38

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Looking like the NAM, YIKES!

1 minute ago, Sandstorm94 said:

Shame on everyone that went crisis mode, 18z EURO jumped west

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So, we are not going cliff diving? I wrote a last will and testament and all.

What is different on the ECMWF as compared to the GFS with precip coverage?

1 minute ago, eyewall said:

From the 12z run:

Improvement overall. Better coverage. We are not out of this yet everyone. 

Just now, PackGrad05 said:

What did the GFS ensembles show?  Never saw those posted.

Bad, just bad. Cut totals everywhere significantly.

2 minutes ago, eyewall said:

How was the 12z run?