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SnowGolfBro

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Everything posted by SnowGolfBro

  1. Yea, that’s why all the cliff divers have me confused. Is it likely that we get 2 feet of snow, lol no it never is. But when a storm is projected on all the major models under 5 days in our general vicinity (say within a few hundred miles N, S, E or W we track), it’s what we do. And if it keeps trending out to sea over the next 24-36 hours then we move on.
  2. He definitely did lol. Now we just need to send him the bat signal to tell us the models will start catching on by this time tomorrow.
  3. I think the ensembles hold more value through 12z tomorrow. Then we should lean on the operational models inside of 72 hours
  4. When you have the cold in place there are so many more ways to score. Get some precip up this way in the next couple weeks and it will be frozen.
  5. The Euro doesn’t typically make big jumps in one run. A pausing of the east trend is at least enough to keep us in the tracking game.
  6. We want to be in/close to the bullseye on Thursday and Friday. Right now seeing a big storm close by inside 100 hours is pretty awesome and is a big part of the reason we do what we do. Keep hope alive!
  7. I believe the word is “cluster”. Pretty strong signal for a deepening lie around the benchmark.
  8. The difference between the Canadian and the GFS at this lead time is very small. It’s just that small difference makes a big difference for us lol.
  9. 1/2 of the ZR output on the Euro would be a bad ice storm for the DC metro. Hoping it’s wrong
  10. Hope it goes well! My daughter has her mock comp today too! Happy to get it in before the snow.
  11. We certainly aren’t going to waste any flakes to melting. Ground will be frozen solid by tomorrow night
  12. A foot plus and very little or no ZR seems like the ceiling for us low landers.
  13. And likely 6-12 hours of something frozen falling after the end of the run heh
  14. With this airmass i could see snow possible with a thin warm layer if the rates are heavy. Gonna be fun to watch unfold in real time
  15. Any chance the warm layers are being overdone? Is it possible to have a snow/sleet mix after the flip that os more like 6-1 ratio wise?
  16. I believe this is meant to depict freezing rain ETA: ninja’d
  17. Solid as a rock. Why run the apps into a 1040+cold high when you can transfer to open waters and have smooth sailing!
  18. Probably so, but the SREFs are better when you are 48 minutes from onset and not 48 hours. And even then they suck lol
  19. Perhaps 25 degrees warmer right now than it will be at any point starting Friday night through January. That’s kind of mind blowing.
  20. My biggest concern is we keep trending northwest and end up with disaster of an ice storm. Like is being progged to our south. If widespread power outages hit the major cities and suburbs, we could have millions without power heading into an arctic blast.
  21. A southern weaker low will be a huge factor too. If it drives into WV the majority of us will flip soon after sunrise on Sunday. If the transfer happenes down in TN/KY We should get less mixy
  22. 12-18 for the 95 corridor with 18-24+ in the north and west burbs sounds like our climo for a MECS/HECS. Which is basically what King GFS is SNOWING
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