SnowGolfBro

25 minutes ago, StormyClearweather said:

Are you seriously asking for people to take fault for failing to accurately predict the future weeks in advance, despite using the best science and guidance available at the time, all because you wanted more snow than you've gotten? Get over it. 

If you need that kind of accuracy, you need to stay away from this thread and stick to listening to the nice man on the news for your weather forecasts. With long-range forecasting comes great uncertainty. If you can't handle it, move on. 

This makes perfect sense. So when people tell you they know what the climate will be like in 5 or 10 or 100 years from now, we should be laughing at them. 

Weather channel app calling for 3-5 in Montclair.  Let’s go

1 minute ago, konksw said:

Seems a bit fatalistic to be too concerned over 1 operational run of a global model less than half a day from precip start time. 

If I were going to describe our sub forum in one sentence this would be it! 

Familiar song and dance. Us lowlanders need heavy rates to materialize. 1/2 inch an hour rates ain’t gonna do it. 

29 minutes ago, Shad said:

Wow thats a big dog on the GFS for central VA   2 runs in a row

The big dogs get sniffed out early! 

24 minutes ago, Grothar of Herndon said:

The same as me winning the lottery...

So you’re saying there’s a chance!

2 minutes ago, stormy said:

A few weeks ago many on this board were trashing the "control" as being crap. What gives here?

It shows lots of snow 

Un BECS? That’s the third greatest beer in Germany!

29 with moderate SN in Montclair

1 minute ago, NorthArlington101 said:

Don’t want to be a hater but 12k is the same… but I don’t like that because it’s longer so it’s the same precip over a longer period. Less intense

3k is drier

That said… would’ve killed to be in this position mere hours ago

NAM won’t be in range for another 8-10 hours…and even then…

Just now, stormtracker said:

broke up a lot at 9pm..but there are bands still over the area

On the drive home the radio lady said 1 inch and clears out of the area by 2pm. I don’t like her.

21 minutes ago, BristowWx said:

Keeps sinking south.  Tick by tick.  

1 more tick at 0z and……..Folks! IMB of course lol.

Let’s keep juicing! 

2 minutes ago, Solution Man said:

Yep, no doubt

Unless of course things turn around at 0z, then i want more 

1 minute ago, Solution Man said:

I guess accuweather uses the graf….it updated to 3-6 for Haymarket 

They have 1-3 for Montclair. I’d sign right now for that lol

Roads have fully caved in Montclair under heavier returns. 234 looking…dicey.

Starting to lose the sun angle…

Light snow a little bit heavier now. Sun angle a little bit lesser. 28 degrees. Positive changes in Montclair.

2 minutes ago, SnowGolfBro said:

Nice dusting over night. Pixie dust and flakes currently falling in Montclair.

Nothing on radar, i guess this is reverse virga?

Nice dusting over night. Pixie dust and flakes currently falling in Montclair.

1 minute ago, nw baltimore wx said:

Jebman hacked the LWX site.

Nah, if that was the case it would be 3-4 feet

I guess I’ll be the only one in here at 0z

It’s Friday, happy hour cometh. LFG!

As has been mentioned several times. We need to let this cutter swing through. Then hopefully the models will give us a more consistent solution starting tomorrow. We just can’t know.

25 minutes ago, Ravens94 said:

This seems like the best chance in years for a decent snow area wide. I would gladly take 3-6 and if it's more its a bonus. 

That’s what she said.