Tar Heel Snow

Just now, uncjibble said:

Yes, this exactly! And honestly, I also went back and looked at my facebook pictures, and we have gotten enough snow for sledding/ outdoor fun at least once every year. Even if it is 1-2 inches, and never the big one, I am happy we get something on a regular basis. I'm hoping we can somehow still get our annual 1.5 inches out of this one. For once, being in SE Wake county might be an advantage! 

Absolutely. Enough to pick up off the ground is fine by me, one of these days we'll hopefully run into something more! Good look to you from North Raleigh to SE Wake.

12 minutes ago, uncjibble said:

I couldn't find one for this past December event, but that was also a big ole whiff for RDU too!

Correct. I completely understand it has to be annoying to see all the complaining and "Oh woe is me" posts from RDU people, especially for those that live in areas that are rarely in the game. Unfortunately (I guess), it's a high population area and there will be more of us than not. 

Also, it's not so much that we don't get anything as it is that we get so little when shown to get so much. RDU is usually in a good range in early stage forecasts to get decent winter weather events, but either the storm track changes, or there's some crazy unforeseen issue that spoils the fun at the last second (i.e. warm nose last Jan/this Dec, dry slotting today and tomorrow). 

Another thing is, yes, it's amazing watching those who do live in those "rarely in the game" areas get their big snows. It's awesome that more people get in on the fun! But you have to understand that it's gonna sting a little when we should live in a decent area and constantly get disappointed. 

First world problems, and things could certainly be worse than they are, but there's not malicious intent or resentment, just frustration at how things always seem to turn out. 

That's what happens with southern snow! We just recently have seemed to get the short end of the stick.

6 minutes ago, uncjibble said:

You just don't know our pain of watching snow in Raleigh! This is the last 6 major events in our area, they all have in common that they go JUST north/west or south/east of RDU. It gets frustrating seeing them so close but never hit. You have to go back to 2010 for a good hit at RDU. However, that being said, looking back, we have gotten SOMETHING almost every year. Its usually 1-1.5 inches, but we are lucky to get something every year. It just gets frustrating after a while to watch everywhere around us get the big totals as we constantly miss/fringe. 

Thank you thank you thank you for posting those images. I really wanted to see them lined up.

1 minute ago, packbacker said:

12km sees the Wake Co snow shield...LOL

What the heck

someone is just toying with us at this point. idk what wake county did, but we've got some bad juju for sure.

12km. lol is this a joke. literally a bubble.

5 minutes ago, Cold Rain said:

Snowinnc is funny!

The hallucinations have begun earlier than modeled.  More west more negative more precip!  I'm hallucinating already.

We are currently in the bargaining phase.  Acceptance will be the GFS forecast later this evening:

This next NAM might really bring some folks back down to earth.

8 minutes ago, DopplerWx said:

I've seen this movie plenty of times. Gonna be a epic storm offshore with a brutal cutoff and minimal precip back to 95. Friggin Florida with more snow than clt and rdu.

classic

ugh. nam on an island...when will we learn not to trust anything until we see it falling?

2 minutes ago, Cold Rain said:

Pack, I need you to find us something, anything positive as the night wears on, from anywhere and everywhere.  It’s go time.  No more messing around.  It’s time for the starters to take the field.  I don’t care if you have to whip out the Zimbabwe global, the Pokémon, the Arpeggio, or the Saturn V meso 1k QLED Ultra 4D 5000.  You find us some good trends and bring this thing home.  It’s up to you, Pack.  It’s up to you!

I like the way you think lol

But yes, I'd just love to see something stick to the ground!

Just now, mackerel_sky said:

I have never heard so much damn whining from people that look like a shoe in for 1-3@ and possibly much more! Y'all should be loving this in the sleet capital of the South!?

Understandable, but it's just frustrating to always be right on the cusp of getting hit really hard, only to watch it go off to the side.

Wow...it showed a good chunk of good snow bands...band nada. Good lord. It will never ever ever snow here again.

Raleigh bubble never fails. Never doubt it. Not sure why I continue to get my hopes up despite each passing storm whiffing or worse, just some flurries. Sometimes a weak expression of pity is the strongest form of punishment.

4 minutes ago, wncsnow said:

An all SEC championship... barf.. 

this^^^

4 minutes ago, Cold Rain said:

Always can count on the model showing the least snow for Raleigh being correct.  Synoptics don’t matter.  Seasonality doesn’t matter.  Consensus doesn’t matter.  Pattern doesn’t matter.  If there is a model showing no snow here, count on it!

Truer words have never been spoken

Also amazing how this thing is basically all or nothing.

3 minutes ago, Cold Rain said:

Amazing how the GFS is going to lead the way with this storm.

always nice to get that shot of realism

1 minute ago, Cold Rain said:

That looks pretty good.

I always forget about the 3km. I'd take it

1 minute ago, Regan said:

I’m nobody, but I don’t think the rollercoaster is over just yet. New runs will come that revive the jumpers. 

No hope or positivity allowed on this thread

lol 977 low off the coast and we might get a flurry. gotta love the 919 in the wintertime.

1 minute ago, Cold Rain said:

I will guarantee you that if we needed an east solution, it would have phased earlier.

leave it to raleigh to need a nw trend for once and not get it

but...jan 2000 models were expecting nothing!

Just now, packbacker said:

LOL...going to be a whiff it looks like.  All hail GFS/Euro.  It doesn’t snow in Raleigh...never will.  But I do think east of 95 gets a couple off inches when all said and done. 

Yeah...pretty sure it's never snowing here again, but mother nature will continue to throw us a bone just to keep us interested! 

Go for OT!

1 minute ago, Cold Rain said:

Can’t wait to hear the following in a few:

1) Wave not digging quite as much.

2) Looks like a later phase incoming.

3) Not gonna cut it this run

4) I don’t understand why the precipitation isn’t farther west.

5) Nam caving to the GFS.

6) Oh well, on to the GFS.

wooohoo! At least we've got some entertaining football to watch.