OrdIowPitMsp

2 hours ago, michsnowfreak said:

Do you have a link for Fort Snelling?

I’ll keep digging for the daily weather reports and link it here too. 
 

https://www.dnr.state.mn.us/climate/twin_cities/snelling.html

1 hour ago, michsnowfreak said:

Where do you think the absolute lowest snowfall is so far this season in Minnesota? Do you think it's Twin Cities proper or somewhere else? I was thinking it might be somewhere South and West of the metro but there's really no first order stations. 

Somewhere SW of the metro is the futility bullseye, some farm has probably seen ~2-4 of snowfall all winter. The official measuring site for Minneapolis is the airport which is just about smack dab in the middle of the metro - 7.3” season to date. The WFO office is in Chanhassen a suburb 22 miles SW of the airport. After a 100” season last year the WFO is sitting at 5.8” currently. The NWS map, while far from perfect, shows a broad area to my SW with under 6” accumulation to date. 

Looks like advisory level snows across southern Minnesota on Wednesday afternoon. Another painful miss for the twin cities to maintain seasonal trends. I’ll go with 0.3” at the airport final call. 

MPX forecast discussions are mentioning even with average temperatures moving forward we will still break the record for warmest winter. 

Personally it really doesn’t matter a whole lot right now how big of a train wreck this winter turns out to be. 
 

My wife and I welcomed our 2nd child into the world last week. Cloud 9 only begins to describe how I feel. You can’t change the weather but you can impact and shape the little creatures you create in life.

Deck and frozen lake are dusted. Nothing sticking to this warm ground. 
 

Top 10 event of the season. 

4 hours ago, TheClimateChanger said:

Don’t forget to share the bad news too.
 

 

Look at that lovely snow hole over the upper Midwest. Saw a few flurries this morning so I got that going for me. 

Finally saw some precipitation. 0.12” of rain this morning, just about doubling our total for the year to 0.25”

Also saw a pair of trumpeter swans looking for open water on the still frozen lake. 

Off the charts warmth. Temperature departures are running +20 across Minnesota so far this month. 

Thursday’s precipitation event has mostly vanished imby. Full run GFS showing 0.10” of total precip. 
 

Still sitting at 0.13” of total precip in 2024.

Long range still looks bleak for the upper Midwest. At least northern Minnesota will get a good soaking rain…in February. 

9 minutes ago, Build Back Better Winters said:

Looks like another morning of freezing fog.

Crisp and clear with unrestricted visibility at MSP. 

The big cooldown everyone has been talking about will bring our temperatures down to only 5-10 degrees above average. 
 

Give this winter it’s futility crown. 
 

Got down to 24 last night, our average high.

23 minutes ago, roardog said:

I’m not sure I’d trust any ice south of Hudson Bay this winter. lol

The fire dept was at my local lake with an ice rescue boat on my drive home today. Not sure if they were training or someone fell through the ice. People had ice houses setup yesterday but none today. My brother in law was ice fishing in the suburbs last weekend and that lake still had 10” ice on it, but surely conditions have degraded by now. 

3 hours ago, transWXgirl said:

I have the feeling you’re gonna be smack dab in the middle of tornado alley this spring and summer.

All I care about this spring/summer is getting somewhat normal precipitation, tornado chances are just a bonus. 3 years of flash drought is enough, and this winter is making wildfire season look quite brutal in northern Minnesota unless the pattern turns wet. 

The record number of 50 degree days in DJF for Minneapolis is 8. We are currently at 7 with the potential to add a few and set the record next week. 

44 minutes ago, roardog said:

Those are just high temperature anomalies. 

Gotcha, makes sense to further his narrative. Someone want to post a low temperature anomalies map.

5 minutes ago, buckeye said:

This beats his infamous excuse, "I nailed it at 5h"

Basically this one is,  if it wasn't for the warmth, it would have been cold 

Where is JB getting those maps? MSP was over 5 degrees above average in January, and that is showing near normal temps.

Minneapolis finished with 0.13” of precipitation for the month of January with 2.0” falling as snow. 

Diurnal swings are impressive this time of year. After a high of 55 yesterday we got down to 28 with heavy freezing fog overnight. Roads are slippery.  

New record high of 55 in Minneapolis smashing the old record of 46. We missed tying the all time January record by 1 degree. 
 

I was working outside in a t-shirt today. 

40 minutes ago, Brian D said:

Minneapolis, MN, edging 1877/78 for 1st. Strong daily avg today will bump it up a little more. An impressive winter so far. And it looks like Feb 1878 was extremely mild as well,

Woohoo 1st place!!

February 1878 is the 6th warmest on record for Minneapolis, so that’s the number to beat. 

36 minutes ago, michsnowfreak said:

Im wondering if this is similar to 1877-78, where the core of the warmth was centered in MN/the Plains?

I am starting to really believe 1877-78 is going down this year, or at least we get close. It’s a similar setup with AGW and UHI boosting things a bit. The lack of any snowpack up north after this warmup will only hamper the ability to see normal wintertime temps moving forward. The main difference is the lakes have actually held some ice this season, versus 77-78 when there are many reports of lakes never icing over completely. 

Closing out January with record high temps across Minnesota today. The all time January record of 56 in Minneapolis might be in jeopardy today. 

Wake up > check 384hr GFS > less then 0.10” precip for Minneapolis 

wash rinse repeat