OrdIowPitMsp

22 hours ago, mnchaserguy said:

Models flip flopping over a snowstorm here in MSP this weekend. Should be interesting to see how that plays out.


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I’m thinking more of a white rain at best scenario here. There has been good consistency this far out but we probably have to see how the stronger storm up north plays out first.

0.03” of rainfall last night. Front passed through and winds are gusting from the NW at 35-40 with temps slowly falling through the 30s. 

Morning model runs keep the snow north of the metro tomorrow. It’s  closing day at my ski hill today. It’ll be a big party with a pond skip and lots of people dressing up to get their last turns before summer. We were treated to a celestial show last night too.  

NAM has been aggressive with wraparound snow here Sunday. 18z puts down 5” at MSP. In reality our ceiling is probably 1-2”

Not a single raindrop, dust speck nor a snowflake yesterday at MSP. 

Ice out on Lake Nokomis this morning- 3/20. My local urban lake. The median date is April 4th. Last year was the earliest on record at March 3rd. Latest is April 30th 2018. Period of record 1959-2025

Miss south. Oh well on to spring. 

00z NAM was weaker SE and underwhelming for MSP.

Snow-wise this winter has played out very similar to 23/24. The sustained seasonal cold made this winter significantly better though.

Winter storm watch one county south. This one is starting to have the same feel as the March 5th storm with models trending northwest and a sharp snowfall gradient setting up over the metro. March has been rocking this year.

Been skiing 25”+ of powder in the Wasatch the last several days. I’m out of the loop, is this latest spring snow thumping for SE MN legit? 

First 60 today in Minneapolis. Good chance of our first 70 tomorrow. Backyard cam shows the snowpack took a massive beating today and will likely be gone this time tomorrow. 

Congrats Bismarck. 

10 hours ago, michsnowfreak said:

DTW's 26.7" is -12.3" to date. More promise in MSP than here, although knowing our Mar/Apr history and the forecast SSW, I definitely can see some more snow following next weeks warmup. Every year in late winter/spring I mention how annoying the phrase "stat padder" snow is, but this year itll be even more annoying . After we stretched this seasons snowfall pretty far with snowcover days, it absolutely wouldnt hurt to bump up the total with some "stat padder" snow. 

It wasn’t until 4 days out on this latest storm that the prospects of accumulating snow became a realistic possibility, anything can happen and that’s what makes weather awesome. 

41 minutes ago, michsnowfreak said:

Skyrocketed MSP up to 25.6", so they are still well below normal. However additional potential likely lies ahead in March. I thought Rochester MN would do better. They only got around 3" and sit at 15.8" on season.

Average to date here is 41.3” so still -15.7” on the season but this made a huge dent and the long range holds promise. 

Storm total of 9.5” at MSP. Our biggest snowstorm since the legendary winter of 2022/2023

Sun is coming out, lots of dripping with the temp at 28. Must be March. 

Last band rotating through now. 13” near Northfield MN is the highest report I’ve seen so far.

The NW trend is alive and well. Wind is whipping can’t imagine how bad the drifts are outside the metro. 

About as good as it gets out there this morning. Quite the drive into work. 

MSP was at 2.7” at midnight, my original call from a few days ago lol. 
 

It’s wild out there and we are just getting started. Visibility under a mile with gusts up to 35mph. Temps holding at 34 is the only thing keeping the flakes from really stacking. 

30 minutes ago, mnchaserguy said:

Little layer of sleet on the grass. Looks like it’s switched to snow now. Might be a little ahead of schedule for the change to snow. Probably won’t add much to our forecast amount.


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Here it started changing to sleet around 6 and changed over to mostly snow around 6:30. The ground is already white. Definitely seems quicker then expected.

Light rain and dynamic cooling underway. We’ve gone from 39 to 36 in the past hour.

The air is thick with anticipation and moisture.