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Thinksnow18

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Everything posted by Thinksnow18

  1. Thinksnow18
    The metro cashes for sure
  2. Thinksnow18
    I think the biggest snows are south of the metro but I’m not going to sneeze over a foot to a foot and a half of synoptic and mesoscale... Hamburg could be in line for 2 to 3 feet
  3. Thinksnow18
    Never underestimate the power of the warm lake waters
  4. Thinksnow18
    North towns not out of this by a long shot
  5. Thinksnow18
    This could be our winter in the next few weeks, however, if the SSW that is forecast it might be an epic one in the works
  6. Thinksnow18
    IF, and big if that is, all lines up as currently modeled I’m starting to get excited about a 2001 type event for the metro, and oddly right around the same time frame.
  7. Thinksnow18
    I think at this point, what 72 hours out, WNY looks to be in a good spot both synoptic and Mesoscale. Numbers are impossible at this time but overall plow able snow looks likely at this point.
  8. Thinksnow18
    Icon was a good model last storm...
  9. Thinksnow18
    Oddly next week Syracuse westward will feel like full blown winter...
  10. Thinksnow18
    So are you riding the GFS atm?
  11. Thinksnow18
    Didn’t the Para do well with the last storm or was it the other GFS model?
  12. Thinksnow18
    Been watching this potential...if it comes to roost those warm anomalies the NWS just put out for the rest of winter would be toast
  13. Thinksnow18
    Great advice!!! Just read the AFD from Binghamton and they state most likely SW winds over WNY during Christmas for Lake effect...couple with the model I saw on the local news this am, it also showed the band snack over the metro for about 6 to 10 hours before heading south. It then appears it hangs in the southern tier until sat night when it could head back up to metro for Sunday...very active, very promising
  14. Thinksnow18
    KBUF still wants nothing to do with the GFS even though the Euro trended it’s way...
  15. Thinksnow18
    Cop out answer. Either way SW winds show up by Sunday
  16. Thinksnow18
    Not sure why KBUF is anti GFS this year?
  17. Thinksnow18
    Thing is the models have been on it for 3 or 4 days...impressive
  18. Thinksnow18
    Not according to KBUF that above position of the winds would have a band square through downtown
  19. Thinksnow18
    I despise KBUF...they almost NEVER forecast LES for the metro even though the Canadian shows it and the euro shows it on the weekend...no mention.
  20. Thinksnow18
    Which does bode well for what the GFS has been cooking up
  21. Thinksnow18
    Yeah euro looks lost
  22. Thinksnow18
    With the indicies the way they are is anyone surprised how many storms cut in the 12z?
  23. Thinksnow18
    Give me 19 and we’d all be happy
  24. Thinksnow18
    It’s why I’m confused the NWS is stating less snow with the euro? At least that was the depiction from the local Met this am who actually showed both the GFS and EURO runs... he said the GFS shows heavier accumulation and more moderate euro accumulation...that is not moderate by synoptic standards...well Binghamton kinda ruined that I suppose...
  25. Thinksnow18
    The thing is look how long they’ve been in our favor...I believe once a pattern sets up that it tends to be that base for the winter...since Dec 1st and for the 15th of November fir the PNA they have all been in the zones of e need. Yes I know the EPO also has alot to do with our weather as well but you can’t look at these and feel very positive about it
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