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Everything posted by NEG NAO
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I deleted the snow maps I posted today sorry if it caused a problem here..........
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EURO OP and most other models don't have an idea what is going to happen with the storm once it redevelops south of us - the storm itself is still off the Oregon/California border getting ready to move down the CA coast
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The primary low will reach the Ohio Valley sometime Sunday and then because of the blocking to its east/northeast will form an area of LP around the Hatteras area - classic transfer BTW - from that point the track of the LP is critical - does it start riding up closer to the coast or does it take a more northeast track ? The perfect track for us is a slow benchmark classic track just far enough off the coast so warmer ocean air doesn't get involved here - its impossible at this range to predict what actually will happen maybe in a couple days we will have a better idea..........
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GFS finally has storm exiting region early Wednesday almost 3 days after it started
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Still a work in progress - all options still on the table IMO
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Snow storm, December 19-20, 2009 - Storm Summary (raymondcmartinjr.com) That storm also was a slow mover up the coast and the EURO is stalled out and retrograding
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But fighting the block to try and move north
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is this February 26th or better yet March ?
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that reply doesn't tell us what the various ensembles show...........
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Suppression is definitely on the table for the next weeks event
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(25 Jan 2021) GFSv16 and HRW FV3 data are temporarily unavailable again due to continued NCEP data flow problems
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this will change many times during the upcoming week IMO - that run of the GFSv16 has the LP retrograding south down the coast from here - very unusual to say the least....
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January 2021 General Discussions & Observations Thread
NEG NAO replied to Stormlover74's topic in New York City Metro
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January 2021 General Discussions & Observations Thread
NEG NAO replied to Stormlover74's topic in New York City Metro
12Z Euro stalls next weeks storm out just like the GFSv16 -
January 2021 General Discussions & Observations Thread
NEG NAO replied to Stormlover74's topic in New York City Metro
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January 2021 General Discussions & Observations Thread
NEG NAO replied to Stormlover74's topic in New York City Metro
12Z EURO - a long duration event -
January 2021 General Discussions & Observations Thread
NEG NAO replied to Stormlover74's topic in New York City Metro
12Z GFSv16 has next early weeks event getting blocked trying to redevelop and move northeast and retrogrades back towards the coast and stalls -
January 2021 General Discussions & Observations Thread
NEG NAO replied to Stormlover74's topic in New York City Metro
12ZGFSv16 -
January 2021 General Discussions & Observations Thread
NEG NAO replied to Stormlover74's topic in New York City Metro
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January 2021 General Discussions & Observations Thread
NEG NAO replied to Stormlover74's topic in New York City Metro
when do you suspect this potential will become thread worthy ?
