Wetbulbs88
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Everything posted by Wetbulbs88
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The Euro followed on this one tbf
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Share please! Need some hopium.
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Trust me I get it. Probably why I posted something as petty as I did I’m with my wife in NYC for the weekend and my giddiness yesterday morning turned to a drunken nihilism that she finds amusing when there’s stormfail. As the pros and far more intelligent folks have said the depiction is definitely funky. As long as one of y’all have hope I will too.
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That’s what I just realized too. Thanks.
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That’s strange. I’m toggling from th Well you don’t exactly expect it to change runs simply because you toggle between snow map and QPF map. At no point did I choose the 06z or any other run.
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Not understanding the snow maps at all. DC squarely in 0.5”+ yet less than five inches of snow in a cold storm? I mean I get that snow growth isn’t as good outside the banding but I don’t think globals are very capable of that sort of granularity.
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No chance it's chasing convection at all?
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I spoke to him on the phone once when I was in college and considering meteorology. I'd reached out to the station requesting a conversation. He probably thought I was a special individual. I was a little starstruck and kind of blew my shot. Not sure what I wanted to get out of it anyway. Maybe more snow?
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I stand by the NAM. It has it's time and place!
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Oh wow I notice it now. I just never even bothered to look. So what's the difference between this model and the operational Euro?
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Where is the AI? I'm an old-timer using TTidbits. The GFS and Icon push the SLP OTS. But I just thought it outran the northern energy. How can they tell it's chasing convection rather than just outstripping?
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We knew there'd be a sharp cutoff, but it was modeled to be more N/S. In reality it's been far more NE/SW. Loudon's basically the same latitude as DC yet they're all reporting a bust whereas we're already well into the 4-8" forecast range. I just measured 4.5", and it's snowing quite steadily. Ratios seem like they may be less than 10:1 so definitely not a bust here.
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This is 55% of the fun for me.
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The NAM nest has been incredibly spot on for this thus far with the banding. I really think the NAMs get a bad rap (no pun intended?).
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100%. Should have been up to Baltimore at the very most. No business being up near the M/D line. In all likelihood DC will be the northernmost jack zone for this. Modeling is pretty much in consensus at this point.
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SN+ since roughly 4PM or a bit before. Hopefully we can stay under this firehose!
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Tough to see that firehose waste so much QPF literally just south of us. It's edging north but still not quite here. Push baby, push!
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Still just heavy flurries for the past 1.5 hours. The goods are flirting with DC per radar, should be any minute now...
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Flurries here in AdMo. Radar looks fantastic. Far more of a SW-NE orientation than modeling made me believe. Should be flipping to SN/SN+ within the hour.
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Eat your soup, Billy.
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HRRR continues to be on another planet with QPF. Strange. I've never found it to be very useful but let's see if it verifies. It's been very consistent.
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Boozy jebwalk complete. Beautiful.
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We've got about two hours at most here in DC. Consolidation on radar occurred too late for us. But points north and east will do well. A nice burst here in the meantime.
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Hugging the RAP until I see the light and life flash before my eyes.
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Gorgeous outside. Great rates.
