Wetbulbs88

You are an absolute godsend. Thank you.

Does anyone have decent radar I can use? I swear I've lost everything after moving back here

Maybe it's the artificial optimist in me, but I think over the next several hours we're going to begin to see the low redeveloping off the coast and backfilling across the DC area. You can see the nascence of it on radar, just at the end of its loops. It's going to tease you for a couple hours so be prepared for that, but give it enough time and it will fill. The question is whether it fills too far E/NE, but that's another battle for another time.

Tricky rule haha. What qualifies as snow? I’ve got flakes but not much. I think we’re going to fill in soon though. It’s going to be a very interesting event!

Hang in there bud. I think we’re in for some surprises. This has just gotten started.

Also I’m telling y’all. These Miller B’s are just way too complicated for the models to handle to the last detail. This is going to be a LONG storm with MANY surprises.

I’m still holding out for some major backfilling on this overrunning as the low organizes off the coast. And then we’ll still get a shot at the CCB. Let’s just see what happens and enjoy the day.

Yeah this trend is real. And some of the crappier short terms have us in the deforms already. I'll take 4-8" with the opportunity for upside any day here.

More of a location thing but yet I think there could be some 30" lollis in PA/NJ

I said this earlier but this reminds me of PDII but not quite as juiced and slightly north. We were insanely cold during the overrunning and got SLAMMED. Then we went up past 32 with sleet and a little rain even right near the end as the deform pulled north.

Congrats Baltimore. Hang that nose a little lower, like some good old cave stalactite!

Ughhh. Now THAT looks like a typical Miller B screw job for our area. We'll see what happens. There's always a chance that CCB sets up south. With the low placement where it's projected, it's not impossible. Also in my memory overrunning tends to be under modeled but maybe I'm wrong.

Wish Ray's Winter Storm Archive went further than 2012-2013. Hard to find comprehensive documentation of past storms after that.

Wish Ray's Winter Storm Archive went further than 2012-2013. Hard to find comprehensive documentation of past storms after that.

Wish Ray's Winter Storm Archive went further than 2012-2013. Hard to find comprehensive documentation of past storms after that.

Oh man do you have a link for this? I used to have this exact radar for the NYC area until I got a new laptop and lost my bookmarks. Actually I think it was Philly because it gave a better vantage of what was to come.

Wow I must have kind of ignored that one because it didn't register up north. After 2016-2017 NYC wasn't the greatest spot to be in, but it still beat the worst winters around here. It's weird because Jason from the Capital Weather Gang said this would be the first significant snow since 2016...I did a double take when he said that tbh, didn't sound right. Maybe I'm missing the context though.

10" where? In DC? I was up in NY then so trying to put the pieces together.

Hugging while sucking on my binky

Haha yeah seems like a crazy coincidence. Glad we got it cleared up. Go HRDPS!

Ahhh I see. Ultimate irony because if I was still back there I'd be near the bullseye right now...Yeah I grew up in Ellicott City and moved to New York in 2013. I lost my job during covid and have been back here since. It's rough! I got used to those New York winters, felt like Christmas morning every few weeks up there. Then again, I'm very used to this pain. Been a weenie since fifth grade. Favorite storm easily is January 2000. I could tell just by looking at the radar (Bob Ryan was calling it) that we had a chance. But when I woke up, I'd totally forgotten about it until my dad poked his head in while I was brushing my teeth and said we had blizzard conditions outside.

No worries, just changed it. I was so confused!

Oh okay I see. Sorry all. Changing it now.

If that would make it okay for me to be here, no problem. I'm sorry, I just moved back here. I hope everyone gets their snow.

I offered one opinion on one model...I've posted here several times tonight and am clearly not a troll. I have no problem with any of you and all of you just jumped down my throat for what I think is a very objective take. I'll let you decide whether you think that's okay. But I'm not going anywhere.