klw

The 0Z Canadian was quite robust.

12 minutes ago, PowderBeard said:

 

Going to be funny when I put 2500' of tarps from my firewood piles over my new lawn to try to save it.

Frfiday?  When is Frfiday?

2 hours ago, powderfreak said:

Not the trend we were looking for... 

You didn't want it to draw a phallus over NE CT and Mass.  They were given the shaft all winter so it seems appropriate somehow.

12Z GFS decides to not jackpot  Northern Virginia and says hello to Tolland and Mass

So lets summarize where things are after the 06Z runs:  

GFS hits northern Virginia, NAM and Euro are SNE while the Canadian and Ukie are along the Canadian border.

Is this right?  Beautiful to see such model consensus 3 days out.

Just now, CoastalWx said:

Wake me up.....before you snow snow..

This winter has turned A Different Corner

18 Z Nam is looking interesting (usual NAM at 84 hour disclaimers apply)

43 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

What have you got against Norway

Many states (including Connecticut) consider them to be an invasive species:

https://cipwg.uconn.edu/norway-maple/

Quote

Norway maple has been planted extensively as an ornamental tree and is now found invading natural areas where it often outcompetes native sugar and red maples and other deciduous trees. It has a rounded crown of dense foliage, and gray or brown bark that becomes rough and furrowed into narrow ridges as the tree ages. Its leaves typically remain green longer into the fall than other maples in Connecticut, and then turn yellow. The popular “crimson” varieties have deep maroon leaves throughout the growing season. Norway maple can be distinguished from other maples by the milky sap exuded from the end of leafstalks when they are broken off. Also, the seeds of Norway maple are flatter than seeds of sugar or red maple. Seedlings and saplings are shade tolerant and can quickly dominate the forest understory.

It is especially a concern in sugaring country.

https://vtinvasives.org/invasive/norway-maple

Quote

 

ECOLOGICAL THREAT

• Unlike native tree species, Norway maple hosts very few native caterpillars, reducing an important food source for bird populations
• Native mammals do not recognize Norway maple seeds as a food source, further reducing native tree populations.
• Norway maple (Acer platanoides) provides breeding habitat for another highly invasive species, the Asian longhorned beetle (Anoplophora glabripennis), an insect that threatens to significantly reduce North American hardwood forest stands. Research shows female beetles will live longer and produce more fertile eggs on non-native Norway maples than on native red maples (Acer rubrum).

 

15 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

It has helped a lot IMO.  It’s also not grooming the slopes every night.  Groomers are big heavy machines that “open up the snowpack”.... they till through those ice layers that protect the pack.  

No skiers stealing your snow!

1 minute ago, weatherwiz said:

Holy crap...the GFS is an epic snowstorm...very damaging 

Well Epic may be overstating it a bit but Tolland would definitely lose power!

Ha ha

The overnight Euro clown map:

vs the GFS

51 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Keep her warm

 

"Warm weather! Right there! Who looks ridiculous now!"

2 hours ago, Ginx snewx said:

White legs cant tell where the socks begin?

Sure , just look to see where the hair is gone on the older guys.

2 hours ago, powderfreak said:

I'll have to look for the storm summary map, but it was a big upper level low that brought widespread snow everywhere and then transitioned to a monster upslope event I think.

@klw was living up in the Northeast Kingdom I think at the time, I remember he had like 14" or something?  Peacham maybe?  Funny how we remember that stuff, ha.  Couldn't tell you anything else about him except I remember how much he got in a snowstorm a decade ago .  I just seem to remember the set-up went from widespread heavy precipitation across the northern third of NNE as something traversed across, then the backside NW flow really added it up from the Spine back towards BTV.

It had to be a frigid air mass though to get 5.5" at BTV this time of year.

Sounds about right.  I was in Peacham from 09 to 16 but I was not keeping any sort of log back then.  I always amazed by people remembering specific storms and dates.  I believe that winter we got a 15 inch storm in May but that could have been in 2011.My ability to do that has lessened as an adult.  I don't put a ton of my info on the web so I am not surprised you best remember my obs.  I am excited you are no longer calling me KLM.

Edit: I went back through some old photos.  I couldn't find any from the 28th but found a few from the 26th and 27th.  The file info for this one says early am on the 27th:

16 hours ago, mreaves said:

We were hiking in the Groton State Forest yesterday and my son was asking about some of the old stone walls in the middle of the forest near 2000’ feet. I told him about settlers coming up and clearing the forest for farms. I the. Told him that as soon as land in the Midwest started opening up, many of them beat feat west as fast as they could.  Can you imagine the look on their faces when they realized the ground out there wasn’t filled with rocks. They must have exclaimed “SMDH - Smacketh mine dang head!”

Funny but I was thinking about that everytime I hit a rock yesterday.  Yup this is why they all moved to Ohio. 

Some shows not mentioned that are really good:

Available to stream:

Foyle's War  (English police drama set during WW2 )

Shetland:  (Scottish dark police drama)

Hinterland  (Welsh very dark police drama set on west coast)

Chuck - some of the best supporting characters anywhere

A Good Place-   name another show built around moral philosphy lessons in each episode.

Hard to find (Facebook I think)

Buffy , Angel.

Also, is next weekend looking dry or just warmer?

I came in just shy of Ostego County above, missing their total by just 13.5 inches.  There is 1/2 inch of slop on most of the ground.

Oh well.

It is still snowing and 34f so maybe I will catch up to them in the next half hour or so.

And down to 37 f now

I spent the weekend building stone steps up the embankment of the backyard.  Our property has a large number of rocks everywhere and whenever I have done any digging, I inevitably hit a large stone somewhere.  When I was digging the raised beds I ended up lining the outsides with stones from the beds instead of wood.  I frequently had to resort to using a prybar to get the biggest ones out of the earth.  So yesterday and today I took about 25 of the biggest flat stones and built a staircase.  Hardest parts were when I would hit stones where I was trying to dig out to put the steps in.  The other aggravating factor is that the lower part is very wet this time of year so the area I would dig would fill with water and muck.  It was pretty fun yesterday with the COC day haowever.

In terms of mulch, our town has a shed outside the transfer station.  In the winter there is salted grit any resident can go and get.  The other 4 months there is free mulch- mostly pine.  I just go with about twenty containers and fill away.  I did that a week or so ago on a day the dump was closed so it was quiet.  It is a nice perk the town does.

Down to 39 here.  

41 and light rain here.

BTV weighs in:

https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=BTV&issuedby=BTV&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1

Quote

Let`s talk snow now. Though thermal profiles are marginal for snow due to temperatures being near freezing to around 40 F, the dynamics of this system are very impressive and with omega values in the crosshairs of the DGZ, snow growth will be efficient. It`s a challenging forecast to be sure.

Anticipate wet snow within any mesobanding features that develop, mainly geared towards southern Vermont and areas east of the Green Mountains for our forecast area. Additional snow will be possible Monday as temperatures cool aloft under the upper low, but without the intense dynamics, it will become highly terrain dependent for the remainder of Monday. Expect snow levels to drop to around 1000ft during the period of heaviest precipitation from about 5 PM Sunday to 2 AM Sunday. and generally have a dusting to 1". This will be mostly for eastern Vermont due to the more favorable upslope component in the low-level easterly flow.

Areas near to above 2000ft elevation will likely see a wet 1"-4", with the higher amounts focused in the eastern Adirondacks and southern Greens of Vermont. Then at the higher summits, generally above 3000ft, there is about 4"-12" forecast, with the highest forecast over Mt. Marcy and Killington/Mendon Peak. Will continue to assess and revise as more becomes known about this dynamic system.

Their map is hardly bullish:

06Z Nam will be quite the wakeup delight for Powderfreak as it really moved its clown map totals north.

First the 0Z

And now the 06

12 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

That is a lot of QPF in Central New England...

Anyone over 1,500ft is likely all snow there too. 

As a member of the American Wx Forum Society of East Central Vermont Residents living at 1240' and having nowhere to go next week, I approve of this model run and say l-l-l-l-l-l-l-ll-l-ll-Lock It!