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RVASnowLover

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Everything posted by RVASnowLover

  1. Some models show snow starting Friday night so need to start seeing some consistency soon
  2. I’m still holding on to Wednesday night being my goal post in terms of how I feel about the event. Things will continue to shift
  3. AI Euro was a little more south. Even SEVA doesn’t get much
  4. We either miss to the south or miss north and west. ORF may not get all of the snow events but compared to RIC, they’ve done way better with the big ones
  5. GFS basically holds at 6z. It’s either going to fail miserably and cave at some point or be right. IMO this is a SEVA/ENC special. Maybe we get a glancing blow in RIC
  6. GEFS looked great. 6 am comes soon. Going to call it a night hope to wake up to good news about the euro
  7. All solutions are still on the table. Models still not in agreement. Minor differences between them and with this delicate of a setup, minor differences matter
  8. UK going to be a Miss. GFS right now on its own
  9. GFS AI is more east. About the same as it was at 18z
  10. Take this back. Actually gets some snow into RIC. Not a lot but not nothing
  11. It did look good. See if those 18z dropsounds make a difference in 00z suite
  12. Noticeable jump west on 18z euro but doesn’t get much precip into RIC. Improvement though
  13. Agree. With this kind of setup its more common for it to trend east than west
  14. So close but yet still far away from being a hit. All the pieces will have to come together.
  15. Giving it until tomorrow night but the trend on the Euro is not good at all
  16. Euro was better aloft but not good at the surface
  17. I don’t remember offhand but it’s a good model. Believe surprisingly CMC did best with the last storm. It was always the most northern model and ended up being accurate
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