SnowLover22
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Everything posted by SnowLover22
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lets just say the gfs won't get it done this run. The changes are laughable at h5 vs the 12z euro. They are worlds apart.
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uh oh.... Seriously you would think it would not just impact the euro though.
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??? no they aren't.
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your timing is impeccable lol. Today would've been her 100th birthday.
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would not take too much of an adjustment at range. Verbatim goes negative too late by a little bit.
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as I said before key thing to look out for is what happens out west. The energy does not cut off, it phases with the northern stream ala CMC and Euro.
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compare h5 84 hours gfs to h5 84 hours NAM. Then see what happens on the gfs. You can surmise the nam was heading in the same direction.
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IMO, figuring out what happens near Baja California is key. The 6z gfs is a miss because it cuts off and leaves energy behind there. FWIW, the 12z NAM would've been a miss as well. Leaves energy behind. The 6z euro would have been good most likely. Very similar to 0z does not leave energy behind at 90 hours. Only 84-90 hours out to figuring it out. Something has to give!
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Hopefully im not the only person still awake... EPS
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close up
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the screen name checks out.
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I was in Hamburg just recently.... Hamburg, Germany that is
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Damn I might need to drive up on Sunday. Original plan was to be in Upstate by next Friday. At the very least should be a solid snowpack by the time I get there on Friday after the storm (assuming nothing changes)
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Short Pump does well lol.
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Significantly more confluence in the NE. what are you talking about?
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I take back what I said. Ocean storm is phasing more effectively with the TPV allowing for lower heights over the NE. Not exactly sure why the phasing helps to allow for lower heights but that is the result.
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Not liking what I see from the gfs so far out east. Maybe something else can balance it out. Could be even further west.
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for the little that it is worth, the icon is a hit(sort of).
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If the run would've went out further, the 18z euro would have been a bit further east vs the 18z gfs. It was clear early on.
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Positive signs so far. The ocean storm slower to move out of the way.
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Do you find it strange that the OP has consistently been further west than its own ensembles. Could the OP be seeing something different. Not sure what I would give more weight to at the moment.
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something tells me congrats Pittsburg this run but lets see . Don't like what I see so far.
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Someone from a different forum said it quite well. The icon is a miss because of what happens near Boise around HR 60-66.
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H5 for the euro looks very similar to the gfs so far. Difference I see is the shortwave that will become our storm is a little faster on the euro so potentially less wave spacing so far.
