JB Fins
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Everything posted by JB Fins
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No doubt. I think they will all err on the low side, easier to explain that than calling for a foot and getting 2 inches. If we have to work this hard for a shot at 4 to 5 inches, geez, just don't know how many storms we have left in this area.
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I thought it ticked up to 4-6" with some of the maps they posted in the storm thread. I have very bad and worse, untrained eyes so I could be mistaken but it even looks like we pick up a nice slug of moisture on the backend.
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That's a slight improvement for us in central VA compared to previous runs is it not? 0.4 to 0.9? Has the EURO ever caved to the NAM? I know they all have their victories but hard to bet against the King in winter.
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From what I can recall, yes. RIC_Airport and Inudaw can probably weigh in on that one. As we know, usually wise given our climo, to go conservative and bump up during the event if needed.
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Yes, please don't let that be a representation of us folks down here.
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I had to bite my tongue in that thread last night as I know it's always IMBY for them but if anybody, say, like Richmond chimes in wishing for snow, they get shot down. Haven't checked other locals, 12 going conservative, or a blend, 2-4", change to rain, leaves door open for backside. Looks like Wakefield calling it that way as well at the moment.
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Board is getting crushed. Rather have the temps not be an issue, so if we get 4-6 and just some light drizzle before a 1/2 inch on the backend, I would be satisfied.
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I would take the Ukie in a heartbeat, 7" and then it can just be light precip just no rain. We never seem to do as well on the backend, I always seem to recall the mets calling for more as the storm pulls away but it's never more than flurry or two I feel.
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Yeah, when we get dustings like this I have to come up with descriptive measurements over actual measurements. I am calling this Cole Slaw out here in Tuckahoe.
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Well, now I am depressed. Don't know what it is, turned 50 a few months back and just jonesing for a big snow here to feel young again and now it's looking like a few inches washed away creating a slurpee like landscape for a little bit.
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Yep, 46 here. Wonder if the cloud cover was going to prevent us from that upper 20's forecasted low tonight.
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Yeah, it's tough to be in the other thread with all the champagne corks popping. Hoping for a shift so we can all cash in. I will take a 6-8" with sleet and call it a season. Don't want that little bit of snow with all the rain puddles where you can't do anything with it except get soaked.
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Okay, now I guess we are on pins and needles until 1:00. If Euro steps toward GFS and Icon, I will lose my giddiness and actually get back to work.
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I am a bit antsy now about Sunday/Monday given the discussion in the other thread. Seems like temps will most certainly be an issue for us as depicted now and as we know through history. I just hate the angst of sitting through rain and waiting for a changeover. Remember a storm, think March of 2009, where it rained most of the day Sunday and transitioned and we got 11" so know it happens but just have snow starved lately, don't want to see 3" of slop while to the north they get 2'.
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January Storm Term Threat Discussions (Day 3 - Day 7)
JB Fins replied to WxUSAF's topic in Mid Atlantic
My favorite winter weekend of all time. Stayed up with TWC all night. Drank Coronas and ate chocolate chip cookies. Airport here at RIC said we got like 11", I measured 21" at my apartment. Ah, memories. -
Usually NBC12 sounds the alarm with their First Alert Weather Day the first sign of an impactful Euro Run, was surprised Duncan mentioned, and I am paraphrasing, more rain than anything else with the Sunday/Monday threat.
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January Storm Term Threat Discussions (Day 3 - Day 7)
JB Fins replied to WxUSAF's topic in Mid Atlantic
Just missing your old avatar...I miss the weather weenie superhero. My mistake, that might be DD Weatherman or something of that ilk. -
January Storm Term Threat Discussions (Day 3 - Day 7)
JB Fins replied to WxUSAF's topic in Mid Atlantic
Well, to his defense, your profile does have KRIC. -
Well, they certainly must not like frustration, depression or tears because we have that in spades.
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Yeah, they are lining up at the cliff in that thread. Hoping for WSW criteria snow. Guess we will have to see the impact of tomorrow's system and where the models go from there.
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Yep, maybe I should have altered my previous statement about the Euro losing the storm to weakening and suppressing which leads to ultimately depressing. However, we have seen it come back before...I know it is inside 7 days but I will wait a few more runs before I throw in the towel. I knew it was bad news when I came back from riding the Peloton and only saw 22 replies in the DC thread after a Euro run.
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Yeah, I think I am only comfortable when we are in the bullseye inside 72 hours. Even then, still antsy. At least there is something there. I have a feeling there will be a few toss runs where the Euro loses the storm and then it suddenly reappears but hoping that the inevitable jog north will not manifest itself this time.
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Inside 7. But can't help and think we have been here before.
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Ha! The 20" plus bullseye looks to be over DT's house in Chester. Yeah, history suggests this thing starts to shift north as we hear are more chattier DC folks state, "right where we want it" this far out.
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Agree, would take that run in a heartbeat and call it. However, 7 days out and I hate anytime we are in the bullseye this far out. Guess we can play the "We're due" card.
