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Hurricanegiants

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Everything posted by Hurricanegiants

  1. Hurricanegiants
    For reference today/tonight/and insomnia: GFS (wicked step) 0z: 10:30pm 6z: 4:30am 12z: 10:30am 18z: 4:30pm NAM (weenie for $500) 0z: 8:35pm 6z: 2:35am 12z: 8:35am 18z: 2:35pm CMC (Hail Mary) 0z: 12:00am 12z : 12:00pm UKMET (gap fill) 0z: 12:30am 12z: 12:30pm Dr. No (no formal acronym needed) 0z: 1:30am 12z: 1:30pm
  2. Hurricanegiants
    Surprised it’s still at the enhanced level—seems moderate would be the case after the LWX language and the models in agreement of at least 4+?
  3. Hurricanegiants
    Very true. Very true
  4. Hurricanegiants
    Ya. I like Rayno. But, truly, he has no love for Dulles/DC. Everything is about PA/Pitt/NY—like no matter what. Been that way for many years.
  5. Hurricanegiants
    Just for clarification, assuming the ideal spot for the coastal is V/NC border?
  6. Hurricanegiants
    Scratching my head trying to understand this. 40 plus years here. And here we go again with the average of 50 degrees after this week as we roll into February. Frustrating. Holding on for a few inches this week.
  7. Hurricanegiants
    It’s funny. Back on January 24, 2000 we had the surprise snowstorm—- it was supposed to be south—a fish storm. And it wasn’t until after 9:00 pm—-hours before the onslaught that the NWS issued the last minute warnings. This storm has neither the L or the coastal power, however, the waffling that it’s creating is reminiscent of that storm. There just seems to be similar intangibles (VA Beach, suppression, maybe 1-2–probably rain/freezing etc...). Shall be interesting.
  8. Hurricanegiants
    So, there are more updates coming from the banter threads. Did i miss a transition?
  9. Hurricanegiants
    I often wonder which pain is worse—continuing to be addicted to this grueling hobby of “now you see it—now you don’t” with mid-Atlantic weather model dissection by the hour or simply ripping the band-aid off and resorting to the old “trusty” iPhone weather app where the visuals go from snowflakes over 2 days—to rain—to partly cloudy. Hope the King turns the mojo around here in an hour.
  10. Hurricanegiants
    When was the last time we had a mix to all snow event? That would be a welcomed reversal.
  11. Hurricanegiants
    A few checks for today. Assuming we still want the faster onset? Still need the Low at this point to be as far south and east as possible? And is anybody concerned that we are getting temps at 30/31 before 8:00? That seems high already.
  12. Hurricanegiants
    GFS 6z? Is that worth a look this close in?
  13. Hurricanegiants
    That subtraction thing gets me every time. Oh well, 18.6 had me living in weenie world for 3 minutes. Back to reality.
  14. Hurricanegiants
    Thank you
  15. Hurricanegiants
    When is the next model run? 4:00 am?
  16. Hurricanegiants
    Interesting. Injesting—-my bad 3:00 in the morning.
  17. Hurricanegiants
    Would be real ingesting if we can get just a 10-15 mile shift south in these last few hours leading in. Flip those advisories to warnings closer to the city.
  18. Hurricanegiants
    Those maps from CWG are my favorite. And I get it. I would do the same thing. It’s just classic. The “boom” if we are wrong and “bust” if we are wrong maps are great. Just symbolizes life in the 95 corridor.
  19. Hurricanegiants
    Northern Maryland seems tb jackpot this winter
  20. Hurricanegiants
    Radar Dry slot much of dc metro but a nice southwest build on backend.
  21. Hurricanegiants
    Looks like the forecasters overall nailed this. 3-4 DC proper. And around 5-7 FFX and Loudoun. Great stuff. Let’s hope we get to 12:00 with snow still falling.
  22. Hurricanegiants
    I can’t remember discussions be so far all over the map. 2-7 inches just west of the City? far west of the city? 2-3 change to rain by 4:00 pm? Looks like just a mix of slushy 2 inches and then fr rain and rain. Not to be Deb but a whole lot of hoopla for what appears to be an an 11:00 am changeover to sleet and then rain 2 hours later. Hope the CAD just sits and cold air wins out overperforning.
  23. Hurricanegiants
    Does any of this end as plain rain into Thursday?
  24. Hurricanegiants
    Are we still eventually talking rain at this point when we say “the changeover?” Or is this now a snow change to fr rain/sleet done.
  25. Hurricanegiants
    Tick tock those picks are in. Euro is now in the clock.
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