BooneWX

I haven’t seen or heard a thing from him in years. I miss seeing his content.

We lost a lot of good commentary to that board

Same to you @strongwxnc! Everyone enjoy the turkey and the first taste of winter.

Snow or not, winter is coming .

The only fly in the ointment this morning is the MJO. It still gets to 8, but not until we have an obnoxious loop through 7 and it heads for the COD at the timeframe I was hoping it would steer into 1.

I stand by my statements that the GFS should get zero consideration in anything going forward. It’s not useful even from a 500 mb level in the medium range anymore. This summer was an all-time abysmal performance with the tropics and chasing extreme warmth that only happened once. With that being said, it’s a 2 in a room of 4s. I’m not bragging a bit on the other models. Even the AIFS which sniffed out the cold Dec start has endured a windshield wiper effect.

Time will tell. At some point our crew gets to eat too. I still have a good feeling about next month. If we repeat the upcoming pattern later in winter, I won’t be as bullish for CAD regions because it would favor too much suppression.

Shades of last winter. We saw this time and time again where models torched at range, only to come in colder and colder at 0 hour.

Frigid euro ens. Just wall to wall cold.

It’s the Icon but it damn near delivers next week

Morning update: Colder. Where? Every single ensemble.

What a torch lol. Canadian with its first ice doomsday clown map of the season. .

Will always does great work. He’s one of the few I’ll listen to for LR updates. .

The SER centered over the western gulf coast and that pool of cold air in eastern Canada is the ticket. That’s how you get some mischief east of the apps. This look screams CAD opportunities. .