Fwiw Rufus seems to have a better handling on the convection rn. At least when comparing the most recent runs of RRFS vs HRRR at 3 pm and the the radar.
I think the likelihood is actually increasing for the western part of nc. It may take cams a bit to catch on but the sun is fully coming out with plenty to go upstream.
For the most part, we avoided the convection upstream and it should get sunny here shortly. This afternoon might have some potential in the western part of the state.
Obnoxious how this pattern hit right after the point of no return for 1/3 of my grass. Pete (my robot mower) is working his a** off to keep up to no avail. He hates working on Sundays but he’s about to get sent into the fog of war again.