BooneWX
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About BooneWX
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We are spoiled as hell to have essentially skipped the dog days entirely. It’s false fall but with each passing day, the heat won’t have that same stiffness to it. College football on the back porch tonight. Enjoy!
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We’re going to pay dearly for this pleasant weather in Sept and Oct aren’t we?
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Just in time for week 1 of college football.
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This is one of the more fascinating strengthening episodes I’ve seen for a storm. It’s basically an entirely new core and system living in the body of its old self.
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For those interested in wave heights as the forbidden cinnamon roll approaches, Frying Pan Tower’s live cam is back online just in time. Link:
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Particularly impressive given its size.
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Looks like she’s finally hopping in the car to leave
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Erin is dragging her feet. Her ride is coming along quickly. What if she misses it? I’m starting to wonder….because you know the models have always been dialed in on UL lows in the North Atlantic. Rarely ever miss!
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Looks like it’s completing the EWRC. The center is warming quickly on IR.
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Erin looks like it’s definitely going to be a mess for the OBX. It won’t be anything they aren’t used to, but it looks more and more likely that they’ll feel a big push of water + TS winds. What a crazy system. It’s always fascinating to see these MDR systems go from tight compact, Charley-like cores to large real estate systems in just a few days. Weather is cool.
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We throw a lot of faith on models despite the GFS just initializing at 982mb at 12z.
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https://x.com/packie7b/status/1956739516695216384?s=46
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Purely a guess but it is feeling a bit of shear from the north. I think it’s successfully disrupting the attempts to establish an outer eyewall but it’s just simply too intense of an inner core to be bothered by the same shear. An absolute unit of a storm. Parallels are hard to draw but the San Juan radar reminds me so much of Charley. compact little donut.
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Wow .
