BooneWX

Interesting ob: The 0z HRRR has trended very strong with the CAD. The same 0z run is too warm compared to surface temps in real-time over the plains…. WOOF

How dark?

Depression sinking in fellas. Coping with a complete miss and we’re rewarded with a complete mess. Godspeed tomorrow - Monday. I say Monday because the 30-40 mph wind gusts should go over swell with ice in the trees.

@buckeyefan1 can we get this pinned please and thank you?

Hear ye hear ye

Not surprised it’s dead. Our fate is pretty baked in at this point. It’s mostly nowcasting and needing to move to an obs thread. As Joe Bastardi would say, enjoy the weather, it’s the only weather you’ve got.

NAM is correcting south lol. These models!

The hrrr looks wetter on its surface depiction but haven’t finished the run to confirm.

Wagons south? .

*chuckles* I’m in danger meme

I believe there’s an issue with the NAM. Someone pointed this out on the other board, but if you look at soundings, it’s showing freezing rain but not depicting that on surface maps.

I’m not sure about its thermals but the fact that it’s the eventual replacement for the NAM tells me which one I’ll be weighing

NAM has a dry bias. FV3 has a more reasonable surface depiction.

I’m trying to tread carefully here but I think GSP not coming to some agreement this morning and getting warnings hoisted is a blunder. Can’t get too ornery about exactly being 24hrs out or if it should be an ice storm or winter storm warning. It’s all in the wash. The general public doesn’t drill down that hard - missed opportunities to send out warnings while you had their attention waking up.