BooneWX

Yall won’t have to hear the whining from us foothills guys anymore! We’ll be in the Stone Age for a while

Euro OP with small improvements. Less interaction with that northern energy as the Baja blast slips sw.

WSWs hoisted

More phasing means a stronger cyclone, the stronger the cyclone, the more latitude it gains to move poleward. It’s also plowing into an increasingly transient high. A big thing that’s changed the past few days is that our high isn’t as “locked in” as we thought. It’s scooting into a less and less favorable position as the storm progresses.

UKIE is major swing colder and deeper with the cad from 0z

100%. I think this is setting up to be the sleet storm of the century in our neck of the woods.

Flatter AIGFS fwiw

All of us across WNC are about to find out just how strong the trees affected by Helene really are

.

Toss the CMC at your own risk. It might be struggling synoptically but it’s not that wild of a solution and it performs well evaluating CAD.

My gut for all of us is a sleet fest but it could be kinda fun because we’re talking 4-6” of it. I personally have never seen that and I love a good freak show.

Ah the GFS. The soldier I want in my corner.

I’m on your side man and I hope that’s the case. We’ve certainly seen suppression win the past few years. Hope I didn’t seem argumentative. I just wanted to support what I was saying and not just come across as a Debbie downer.

At this point, I want that northern energy to keep ticking west. It could miss the southern stream completely by doing so.

Met, I don’t disagree with you at all here man. It’s awful at 84. I was just making a point that the ingredients are sort of baked in for this setup much earlier. The interaction with the trough over Montana and the Baja low is how we’ve arrived at this point - which isn’t happening that far in the distant future. Modeling confidence for that interaction is only increasing each run.