BooneWX

Colder, juicier nam run

5:1 ratios for this would be my guess as well

One thing to watch: color me doubtful that we get close to 50° under thick cloud cover tomorrow

This is going to be one of those events where heavy returns = snow, lighter returns will mean light rain. Gotta hope you’re under a band that thumps.

Caution on the clown maps for the HRRR. I did some poking around and it’s a rain sounding for most of the event except for the Virginia border northward, despite the surface depiction

Just imagine if we could get the vort for Monday to go negatively tilted. Canadian tries to amp it up late, which is why the clown maps are better down east but a very close call to a big dog almost forum wide.

Crazy the atmosphere knows exactly where I-40 is

With a massive grain of salt - the gfs has much more moisture and is colder. Verbatim, more than a minor event for many edit: not colder but the front thump is thumpin

Since no one has said it yet….. Rates will overcome!!

Mid month ridge looks transient

https://x.com/timbuckleywx/status/1996067257181417685?s=46

I always love how juiced and aggressive the GRAF is

ILL TAKE THAT FOR MONDAY AND CASSSSSH OUT

https://x.com/timbuckleywx/status/1996067257181417685?s=46

We’ll be getting into cam range tomorrow. Happy hunting and goodnight all!