There’s a dome over lake hickory today. I’ve watched at least 7-8 cells go north or south, only to return to my equal latitude once they get 5-10 miles away.
Fwiw Rufus seems to have a better handling on the convection rn. At least when comparing the most recent runs of RRFS vs HRRR at 3 pm and the the radar.
I think the likelihood is actually increasing for the western part of nc. It may take cams a bit to catch on but the sun is fully coming out with plenty to go upstream.