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ajr

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Everything posted by ajr

  1. ajr
    Can’t remember the last time there was a signal like this in early December - it’s nice to see
  2. ajr
  3. ajr
    And a more amped PV in SE Canada
  4. ajr
    Positive sharp Wake County gradient sign
  5. ajr
    I only saw the mean... looks like individual members are interesting though!
  6. ajr
    6z GEFS favoring a southern NC plains track with our d8/9 system (and cold air is already cleared out by the time the LP comes around). EPS has the system but also too warm for anything interesting. Still lots of run-to-run variability though.
  7. ajr
    The past two runs of the GFS have a potentially interesting setup around Dec 5
  8. ajr
    GFS showing something around 11/30 and 12/3.. something to keep an eye on at least
  9. ajr
    Despite the cold rain in our area, hard not to get excited at the overall pattern... these kinds of storms would be nice hits for our area come late D into JF.
  10. ajr
    No one in wake county look at the 18z ICON..
  11. ajr
    ...and it will always switch over later than expected
  12. ajr
    Meanwhile HRRR is making things interesting for RDU...
  13. ajr
    I just don’t see how Raleigh’s temp profile supports anything the models are spitting out
  14. ajr
    I remember that tool (among others) being an epic bust last January.
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