STILL N OF PIKE

New development w Euro Ens was a ridge breaking down faster and several members curving this north East of state

Euro Has not run but I Am very interested in where the turn west occurs alllnensembles turned Dorian South of 26.5 N (unless im reading map wrong ) inbelieve models underdo the quickness of the turn as well as when they’ve sniffed out a slight WSW dip it also tends to be underdone on modeling Equally concerning is the stall on CMC\UkMET on 0z models just inland . That throws a wrench in

So Palm City - Port St.Lucie

Such a strong forecast turn at a longitude as Far East as forecast leaves a lot of room for error imo . Maybe models will be consistent next 48 on Strenth of ridge but also where this does its turn

I lived in S Fl for a long while they have been exponentially lucky in Broward and South Palm beach county for 50 years . 5-0 So much money along the water. Super wealth Do you believe this will expand significantly in size or remain rather small until a possible landfall

Ya i was trying to see what size it’s forecast to be in 96-120 hours it’s tiny now

Interesting to see if the ridge orientation 72-120 hours out takes on a pure W-E orientation or even possibly shifts to create a WSW motion . Also what latitude it’s at when it turns west and feels the ridge makes all the difference The fact this barely entered Caribbean really helped this become a disaster in THe making (avoiding land) and less favorable conditions

My worst post my bad This storm looks frightening as it has shifted so Far East that it went from crossing Hispaniola to going currently East of Puerto Rico as it strengthens .

I may Chase Dorian if it goes Cat 2 + 300$ round trip to FL

We need a golf GTG im in!

That’s wasnt ever a question, with a small system will probably make a cane east of Caribbean, don’t see it surviving Caribbean

Euro puts 98L to bed ulmet is so bad it decided to not run there goes 3 days of F’N swells F#<^

Let’s see if Euro puts 98L to bed only model still taking this into more than moderate tropical storm unless UKIE bounces back this half hour

Tropical depression 5 ...forecast to become a hurricane as it crosses NE Caribbean that is an example of the POLITICS of forecasting . Caribbean Looks hostile l and would be lucky to make it thru as Tropical storm but IMO bc it’s close to islands Stewart is going with HRFW? And Cat 1. Good luck

The Ukmet no longer has a deep system Thr icon no longer has a deep system The Euro still has a deep system offshore

Can someone QUE the Shwoegler Youtube “get in the basement vid /blizzard 78 redux”

So No dungeons and dragons

Sandy Want in the hello does this have to do with Sandy. Mine as well board up your house August -November Im following this for Surf

Swell looks to brew off East coast mid week . Gimme one more day of modeling that shows this decent track Ginxy , I kno your looking forward to the Surf SSE/SE swell

What a bridge jumper of a storm . Sounds like no Cold high certainly

Flow is good enuf to bring Swell to those spots exposed to S, SE swell (from a storm moving SW to NE) , RI , Islands gotta watch 98L for surf TueP.M -Thur)

Lots of hate he did very well last winter nobody is minusing a storm, nobody had 12”+ 24 hours out for The little Nuke...I mean please i dont read tweets, I don’t even enjoy typing the word, I read his blog, nobody is worshipping lol

lol’s

Cranky is all over this and has been 2 weeks ado he said most significant shot besides a weak TD on SW periphery of Atlantic high (as they round corner ) will be. Something near the east coast approaching Sept 1 as maybe some sort of hybrid storm from remnants of a front Not any Mets I follow have seen anything that justifies NHC recent upgrade to seasonal totals quickly regarding crankywxguy Not anticipating much but after people bad mouthed the guy so much , I took a look at him and his archived forecasts. He nailed the i-95 winter minus the freak 16” bomb coastal that overperformed and he has been all over tropics as well as all over the summer pattern for i-95 as well

Zzzzzz early Sept . Set alarm