STILL N OF PIKE

wow E SNE burial late monday nite/Tues am

Total Burial looks likely just West of Albany where the 7H pivots. I dont see how this area doesn't see at least 15" Nam gives them 30"

Nam cranks for NY state and NJ during day Monday. Gonna be some good bands with that 7H lift on NW side of low Gives Rick in Knox about 12 inches (on top of the 8 from WAA) Monday day for a total of 20 by 0z Tuesday.

Nammy . Good front end thump basically Ma Border North Nam winds up the 7H low a tad sooner on 18z

12z position Monday looks tucked but rather broad W-E low pressure under Long Island anyone able to post 18z and 0z positions (hours 54/60)

The Ceiling for this @ORH airport is still very large

That looks like fun nearby to me

Sword fights

As it stands now ...yes but if this is not a one off and a trend w thermals (where nam has lead the way numerous times ) we need to watch future runs

Will do you believe the ULL and it’s associated WCB are still the biggest wildcard left with this system

Today should be make or break Thankfully I work till 1230 pm

6z Euro? What are it’s thermals for WAA thump near NH border

Big 12z runs today Nam is very good w thermals / mixing so that better be a burp or we got issues I like watching WPC snow probs as well. They got Nashua At 85% 8” 40% 12” as of 5am update

As long as Euro doesn’t have BL temps like UKIE I am ok We await 12z . stay positive folks

At what time you talking about

Every GEFS member destroys central NY . We need a low not so tucked

Ukie looks to me like it could torch low levels to say 495, a low tucked up and in near west central Long Island and a high eroded away by Monday eve. It would seem we would lose Ageo N drain in that set up. NOT Saying it would verify

Is the gfs concerning to anyone or more of a joke

So much Potential, let’s see if other models get zonked

Lalalalock up those weenies till at least 12z Saturday

I’ll go 6-10 For early December that’s big If models trend back to good lift Monday nite we Adjust

He’s a big Snow weenie

system ends Monday A.M?

Something that comes to mind with modeling and past systems When i see rapid mid level deepening forecast i am less surprised to see a low end up closing off earlier and Slowing /Temporarily stalling Just East of Southern half of Jersey Coast and really hammering Pocano's /Catskills /E slope and bending many over in SNE I DO NOT see that rapid deepening forecast so i could still definitely see this untucking ....wether that is enough to change the forcing mechanisms enough to generate good lift east of the river Monday nite we shall see how much it untucks. IT could still be an Elongated low from off S NJ ENE to the Cape like boxing day. The elongation at least kept a Northerly drain going in much of E MA

Things were getting interesting Monday night on Nammy ...those VV's juiced up at hour 84 for most