STILL N OF PIKE

On 6z gfs That 2-5pm period looks good for Monads and O so close just SE of that as deform crushes those 7H V.V’s pound 495 /MHT SW back to Tolland /Union 19z -22z

Look at what the 8z HRRR does to Tolland hills. Longitude FTW yikes that would be something . Flips to sleet by 3:30 and pounds NW side deform 4 hours lol edit 6/7 z HRRR have similar theme and 9z gives Tolland about 4” (which is less)

North Conway is toast imo i want some western longitude on this one . someone NW of Albany to Stratton/Killington looks best but 2 far for me today.

Yes somewhere on that elevated 89 stretch

No chance . If anything flash crashes to aggregates in Savoy in A.M I’ll head to monads . Somewhere between Mount Kearsarge , Temple mountain and Grantham area. All hour drive

32 in MHT car full of gas

Coop Nowcast

Those watching the HRRR runs today could see that first wave of precip that hits basically ORH and West (then really weakens) is dropping a quick 1-4inches (most west) between 2am and 7am

Correct which happens often w - NAO id bet on up and in for a while like scoots would say if he wasn’t afraid of effecting delicate weenies now if Davis Straits ridging shows up we party

If this is amped like BTVWRF shows...then NW of Albany a little may jack/pivot

Ukie is a tick east from its super amped 0z run but still is only snow for like Breton woods NH to Sugarbush VT at 18z

You gotta wonder (for CNE/NNE) if this is potpourri falling from the sky in most areas or aggregates giving crap airmass and no high pressure within 2000 miles seems like whatever models do next 24 hours we will be looking at a nice nowcast event

wagons NW can stop now with this system just glad it went somewhere (NW) that can actually produce snow instead of 34 deform rains over pike area

To chase or not to chase .

How big a role will elevations play given we rely on dynamics if we imagine for a moment the gfs solution were to play out

Is it snowing , is snow imminent if the first two answers are no...remind yourself of these key questions the 4 months.

That would be a Heavy wet snow I assume

did KURO inch colder or weaker /milder more progressive?

We Guantanamo drip drop if that low takes that track I would say best shot is mid level magic near Mitch

Was that the march nor’easter in 2018 with great track that buried catskills and only far western SNE

Box says worst case 1 inch snow or .1 icing. They are Selling any potential

Gfs with a 34 rain deform dandy as well $$

I’m sure this storm track /pattern will still be there when climo supports snow lol just messin The nam has been the leader bringing this south and consolidating its own goal posts from a deform in monads to about Pike for several runs

Ya your BL temps benefited from longitude even if mid levels flipped . I would rather do 5 days in jail then go thru a storm like that stuck in such a location. Lol no brainer

Just to touch quickly on a storm I got screwed on Royally was 93 Superstorm what a tough one to swallow in SE Mass when Atlanta is left w more snow than you after a change to heavy rain in evening and 3” of cement that I told my neighbor on vacation I would shovel . Literally 3” that required a axe. Max depth was about 11 Prior to the rains. If only I had a car back then . Hideous that and December 92 was a serious shiat sandwich handed to KTAN when areas just W /NW got buried . Thank goodness I went with my dad that next day and we went to diamond hill (just a burial there in 92’)