Need that vortex to sharpen up for it not to be well SE and mundane
pretty sure that is what oceanstwx was talking about earlier regarding two camps and what will matter
really just need it north
Pray
W drag and Don are putting up graphics for big flooding so I mean
..my guess is in CT you melt your snow (that we assume accumulates Sunday ) and see 2-3” rain on top that of that
Need major changes for CT to see a net gain but I suppose at 8 days out that can happen.
For the cold solution I think you wanted The stronger confluence and the deeper west trough combo. That way you’re closer to the cold source but the deeper trough in west helped the confluence from dominating and crushing this ?. Sorta thread the needle for SE mass to crush . Still seems solid
With the western trough weaker it seems to me this may want move a bit flatter so you want that confluence out of the way , so it can gain latitude early and slide E/ENE
people mentioned a trailing SW also helping, how is that
Less confluence and high tickles NE in a manner that I think helps us as this run is a weaker system (994mb) but it still is able to gain enough latitude to put SNE in sweet spot away from s coast
Im looking forward to it , and to be honest I’ll have equal or more emotion with the following system for skiing . 11/7 Could be a south of S coast storm , Could crush CNE . Very early
I wonder how many working weenies may use the restroom excuse to look at 12z runs
Hopefully a full week of model watching ahead
At this time we are going to be updating the weenie wx mental health options when you dial in , extra staff this week