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STILL N OF PIKE

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Everything posted by STILL N OF PIKE

  1. This is one of the most boring January’s i have experienced, and odds are getting high it continues to the last couple days of month . Fugly but just keep temps decent . No arctic cold please !
  2. And reminds you how sad SNE climo is for a big time snow lover . Just don’t gimme another 10 day dry stretch for NNE
  3. I’m gonna miss these mild March temps and garbage airmass . Couple more days
  4. If we don’t see at least 2” in next 7-10 days Kev is gonna be in a bad place
  5. On the Mount Washington Regional meso net ...the temps have fallen half degree at 2200' in Jackson and Top of Cranmore, so i figured the Elevation for decent accumulation was dropping below 1200 or so near you .https://www.mountwashington.org/experience-the-weather/mount-washington-regional-mesonet.aspxV
  6. James Next novel. Will the dawn ever open in a good pattern to the sound of a plow.
  7. Dollar index broke out of a descending channel (like it Did when stocks fell for 3 of 4 weeks in the fall. This on the back of record margin debt and leverage as well as call options . Seems we are gonna dip for a period , a Successful back test of the 90.73 level on dollar index Would increase confidence That a stock market trading about 3-4 standard deviations away from it normal sentiment will get rid of some “froth” and there is plenty . These things are never sure things..but a dollar rally is a good way to cause a sell off. When the dollar breaks up, equities have a strong correlation of going down. We can see this also occurred after first week in September for a couple weeks Anyway , unless Biden et all put a big stimulus together fast , seems the dollar will give stocks a pause at a time when seasonality is short term bearish *and this will likely set up a nice buying opportunity At lower levels ..as its likely the dollar will resume its decline after And keep stocks moving up . Unless Joe has much more resistance in congress popping up to the new stimulus plan that has effectively been priced into market . Again just a bit more of a hunch but given the nose bleed valuations it's worth watching this short term dollar rally.
  8. i didn't realize you had 1100' elevation. Are you looking at 3-6"
  9. . Fauci has spoken about a Cutoff of 34 revolutions on the test and anything else lacking the viral load to transmit but Fauci is also hell bent on overpreparing for our safety , so more revolutions leads to higher numbers ..which leads to over preparing and not the public letting its guard down if there was some policy change that led to 15%? less daily positives. Everyone in the world is wearing a mask . Everyone is about to be vaccinated and likely need a vaccine passport. We are over preparing as a plan. So what are monetary reasons to change the plan...and vice versa.
  10. Was looking to chase this storm in NNE somewhere and dang near every hotel is sold out lol
  11. I’m sure it was touted as “The biggest and best Reserve batch ever“
  12. The production and manufacturing for JnJ is backed by two months anyway you slice and dice it
  13. Don’t want folks to let guard down ?..those changes would lead to a significant decrease in daily positives . That may seem silly to folks but I don’t think it is . They are already having folks with Covid fatigue and the vaccine launch is huge. Seems like 2 giant flags against making any changes in testing policy that wound lead to a drop in daily positive case reports if goal is to have folks masking more and getting almost all vaccinated.
  14. That’s the thing , if it was highs in Low 20’s this would be dreadful . But daily highs have been near 40, nights in mid 20’s and just comfortable being outside assuming you have a jacket . Not bad
  15. I do agree with you about being too hard on them...you are right there it's just disappointing . I disagree about it being best guess re; the timeline..it was most optimistic time line given ALL goes well which was unrealistic. There was a Stat article which suggested this about 2 months ago.
  16. I keep convincing myself that Fauci was just obfuscating and using that number to poo poo the Results instead of just embarrass Oxford and Highlight /mention the REAL reason the results were disappointing and how they fiddled and diddled with the numbers and dosages to show something “good”. Bc otherwise , nobody is gonna have 95% effficacy Regarding JnJ and some likely good results (as long as Facui doesn’t think 75-85% is not good enough lol ) I just was reading it will be April until they get shots in people’s arms https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.thestreet.com/.amp/investing/johnson-johnson-jnj-one-shot-covid-19-vaccine-delayed I realized production was messed up, but I didn’t realize how royally messed up it is, how don’t you have at least some vaccine prepared should this be green lighted in less than a month . They were suppose to have 60 million dosages out by End of April . They are two months behind that at least. What in the helll is wrong with these companies or was the original time frame just that much of a incompetent lie ?
  17. I wish there was a NNE hotel at 4.5K like down in Snowshoe Wv
  18. No shock that we sell off early today Casino royale
  19. Phin , just remember those words from your Mr. Miyagi next time your on a snow rage
  20. Lowest consecutive 3 day equity put:call ratio’s in years . .34, .34, .36 Historic levels of bullish call options being placed primarily in small cap stocks Vertical moves create instability , https://mobile.twitter.com/NorthmanTrader/status/1349765784944463875/photo/1 https://mobile.twitter.com/NorthmanTrader/status/1349731710859059202/photo/1
  21. I just looked at 0z nam and I’m wondering if I should ski wildcat and chase that
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