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STILL N OF PIKE

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Everything posted by STILL N OF PIKE

  1. STILL N OF PIKE
    We just need the “fist” of convection that then wraps
  2. STILL N OF PIKE
    Is Paddy’s open
  3. STILL N OF PIKE
    I was in Taunton area (Raynham) for both and don’t recall being overly impressed Wilma in Ft lauderdale western burbs was A powerful experience And hit like a freight train
  4. STILL N OF PIKE
    Like a bomb of convection went off last hour around 30N / 73.5 And spread out
  5. STILL N OF PIKE
    Figured , love the cliff walk spot ..Will they close the side road that extends out to the break known as ruggles even the area by purgatory chasm if I can get in that lot would be solid it’s always fun watching the cliff walk at that spot as folks try to scamper down the walkway along the sea wall and time the surf
  6. STILL N OF PIKE
    I’ll be at sachuest point next to Newport for that unless I’m chased off by “authorities” which is a solid chance the road to the wildlife sanctuary is closed off
  7. STILL N OF PIKE
    MLC May be tuggy tuggying that LLC toward it currently Also , recon center on last pass was south of NHC estimated position
  8. STILL N OF PIKE
    Anyone educated have guesstimates on the intensity ceiling for this by Saturday eve
  9. STILL N OF PIKE
    A few indications that there is a bit less tilting now than on that 6z microwave pass seems this will have a shot by this evening for take off
  10. STILL N OF PIKE
    This was the imagery I was referring to , is that from 2am what does it take to expedite the realigning of a systems tilted centers . I recall many cases where the process just never occurs even under seemingly favorable conditions. A big blow up of convection? the shallow steering flow aligning with deeper layer steering ?
  11. STILL N OF PIKE
    On last microwave imagery (2am I believe) Center is significantly further north then where center appears on water vapor I.e heavily tilted still . This won’t be taking off at all till / if that aligns seen that movie many times , cimss shows mid level wind shear has let up and there is still a bit of N shear left (15 knots) couple hours ago
  12. STILL N OF PIKE
    Off till Monday pm Heading to Newport, RI next couple days and maybe Nahant Monday am
  13. STILL N OF PIKE
    Model dopamine drip incoming
  14. STILL N OF PIKE
    Ya , probably MVY
  15. STILL N OF PIKE
    I’ll take a 11pm NHC shift toward Newport for 500$
  16. STILL N OF PIKE
    Is that not a eye on water vapor
  17. STILL N OF PIKE
    You got a 18z euro position/ strength for Sunday eve
  18. STILL N OF PIKE
    What do we got
  19. STILL N OF PIKE
    Yup the 250 mb NE winds showed they would ease up by 8pm tonite . Not surprised
  20. STILL N OF PIKE
    the man has temperament of a buddhist monk and The incite of Freud
  21. STILL N OF PIKE
    19.6 71w looks like decent fix now
  22. STILL N OF PIKE
    I don’t see lower than 998 as is ..looking at it . Yesterday ..yes
  23. STILL N OF PIKE
    Ya let’s see what’s under the hood
  24. STILL N OF PIKE
    If it decouples....it’s prob ovah. Not that it will just that would be a curveball
  25. STILL N OF PIKE
    Jesus it’s brutal in Tewksbury right now Not sure I can drive my car with these puddles
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