zinski1990

29 minutes ago, StormfanaticInd said:

Tomorrow is looking pretty good for severe weather and flash flooding 

I'm looking forward to it. This has definitely been the worst storm season ever so far 

Back to the extreme debris ball look

That debris ball is intense 

Copic has to be the most extreme risk taking chaser I've ever seen 

I'm guilty of calling bust many times but this one is just starting lol. 

Just now, Brick Tamland said:

Only need 4 levels to begin with. And the descriptions don't make since. Slight and marginal are the same thing, and something that is enhanced is greater than something that is moderate. 

Exactly. Wasnt a fan when the SPC introduced the 5 level system 

Just now, brianc33710 said:

TWC is looking for words right now too. Easter 2020 should've been a high risk though.

Yep. It seems now that enhanced risk days are the new high. Idk. Just remember before the spc added the marginal and enhanced it's been like this

Man this busted so bad. I swear the SPC has had a bad streak since like 2014 with high risks

1 minute ago, StormChaser4Life said:

Well glad this 1st system was good because this sure turned into a real dud. Would have been nice to have back to back snowstorms but oh well. Looks like the thaw commences this weekend. 

It would be funny if it shifted back nw like the last system did though. I'll honestly be fine with a few inches of snow to add on before the pattern breaks

Just now, Gino27 said:

40mph gusts with sleet. that ought to sound cool.

That'll sting. I always hated sleet 

14 minutes ago, KokomoWX said:

Everything looks good for Kokomo but the NWS forecast remains tempered at 2-4" advisory level.  

They'll adjust it at last minute like always. I swear they just hug the crappy gfs op

Just now, Stebo said:

Wagons west on every model for 00z. Dtx's going forecast of 1 to 3 is definitely going up. Id argue the eastern 2 tiers and the thumb needing a watch with current model trends.

That comment earlier u said after that one post about the high pressure placement. You said this seals it it's coming north now lol. You were sarcastic but probably right lol

Just now, StormChaser4Life said:

0z Canadian looked nice. 0z gfs was a bump east but I'm sure we will see plenty of wobbles especially till after this first system gets resolved and until we get better sampling of the jet responsible. Holding hope this can finally be my best winter storm of the season. 

I'm rooting for u man. It's our turns now

Just now, StormfanaticInd said:

We need to get some more central and southern members on here lol

I know theres more. Most never or rarely post though. I think generally the southern side of the forums members are quiter and just lurk more 

Just now, StormfanaticInd said:

I'm surprised these boards are not on fire right now. Lol

Cause it's not in Chicago. You all know it's true 

Just now, madwx said:

One reason is that they count any frozen precip as snow so in a storm with a lot of sleet it’ll be counted as 10:1 instead of 4:1 or so.   That’s not happening here but it may be something they are doing when calculating the kuchera method, like the max column temp they are using is lower for some reason which really inflates ratios 

I knew already about the sleet factor but yah it always feels like they're using 30 to 1 ratios in every storm no matter the temp lol. 

1 hour ago, madwx said:

lots of people going to be disappointed in snow totals if they keep looking at the weatherbell weenie maps

I know those are often ridiculous but why are they like that? Any reason 

59 minutes ago, Hoosier said:

Visible toward end of NAM run.

Times like these are what make this hobby so fun.

I still cant believe theres 2 major storms back to back like this. Never seen something like that

Definitely liking the looks tonight for us Central Indiana guys. About time things improve for us closer to an event instead of fall apart

43 minutes ago, Gino27 said:

Models seem to be overdoing the heights that push the storm east compared meso analysis. I wonder if the SE trend over the last 24 hours is really legit. 

Take a look right now. The high is already too strong on what models were showing

Just now, StormfanaticInd said:

Not as confident about my area as yesterday. Too much spread in the ensembles 

Let's just go with the GFS v16 and Euro. F the op gfs I swear.

12 minutes ago, Jim Martin said:

Kuchera from the GFSv16 18z run.

Nice. Why is the GFS Op always bad at 18z?

Yah I cant remember the last time Indy issued a Watch so early. They're usually slower than everyone lol

GFS progressive bias in mid range. Always happens it seems 

1 hour ago, blue60007 said:

Many of yesterday's 12z EPS members brought mix/ZR/rain up into central IN. The 0z and 6z EPS looks like a better track - very few mixing issues here, albeit drier. The GEFS is a similar situation. I like where we're at ATM, though do need to monitor any weaker/more sheared/drier trends today and tomorrow.

The Euro looks good. Were lucky that were in a neg pna. Southeast ridge is saving it from being another southern slider