Wonderdog

45 minutes ago, BristowWx said:

Where is the all day snow coming from anyway?  The radar doesn’t look that healthy to the west and SW.  The coastal?  

It's not.

Kinda chilly in the GOM on the 23rd.

1 minute ago, BristowWx said:

There you are. This is it we have arrived.  Welcome to the snow asylum.  

I will be grilling steaks in a bit. Need the strength to navigate my new toy, first thing in the AM

Light snow in Gainesville with cold temperatures. Ground is beginning to whiten a bit.

Have had flurries for the last two hours in Gainesville, temp 32. The new toy is gassed up and has been through a successful warmup.

33 minutes ago, Bob Chill said:

Perfect. A little bump from 6z. Great short term trends here. 

This panel shows how close 95 and close burbs are from coastal action. Much better than 0z

With the different look at H5, seems that the storm is still evolving with approx. 24 hours to kickoff, is that a correct assumption?

1 hour ago, BristowWx said:

6z GFS was better all around as mentioned. For NOVA.  At least our light event is almost a lock.  

I think we can squeeze 5 inches out in our area with good rates.  What do you think brother?

Just now, BristowWx said:

I looked at all the h5 panels for the same stamp at 12z and that is by far the worst.  The NAM is better.  Too close in time to ignore I suppose.

I have the feeling I won't be using the , well you know....

12 hours of snowfall does make more sense than 30. Weak-ass storm.

Time to bomb out.

Looks like it comes in two waves.

7 minutes ago, BristowWx said:

Really.  might be time to log off and leave work. 

You miss all the snowstorms for work.

NWS says 60% chance of snow on Saturday; 70% chance on Saturday night; 60 % chance Sunday.

Moderate snow in Gainesville is sticking to the grass.

2 minutes ago, Amped said:

I agree with JI. 2-4 is fine for a clipper, but I'd expect more from a Miller B with a 1040 high.

 

And we still may end up with that!

4 minutes ago, BristowWx said:

I’m an idiot.  That snowblower has been a friend to all of us. Apologize to it for me.

I tried but Snowy the snow blower apparently doubts your sincerity. 

57 minutes ago, BristowWx said:

Snow likely now in my zone forecast Saturday night.  Where is the Rob Paul meme.  

Actually snow likely for everyone. 

Sure glad I didn't follow your advice and, oh strike that.

22 minutes ago, Bob Chill said:

There's going to be a nasty precip gradient on the northern fringe (wherever that ends up being)

By the time it's settled, Tom Brady will be playing in the snow again.

I'll take the FV-3 and call it a night. 

17 minutes ago, showmethesnow said:

Figured that might be the case. Most times I would do a quick flip through of the individuals to get a sense of agreement between then and the mean. But seeing as I have no vested interest in this storm as I will be out of town I just haven't spent the time digging into it that I normally would.

That's right, only thinking of yourself. 

6 minutes ago, Snowstorm5921 said:

Looks like the 1/13 threat is gone.  Onto 1/20 and beyond.  Hopefully.

Minor adjustments is all that is needed for a coastal next Sunday.  Still a week away.I'm waiting for the FV-3 run.

HP a little stronger coming into next Sunday. Suppression coming up?

14 minutes ago, BristowWx said:

We are all just getting impatient. Who could blame us.  No guarantees in weather.  We could puke again in Feb and just go back and forth.  Then have huge negative departures in April and be just warm enough to rain.  

Yeah,  don't worry about it. It's all coming together!

11 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

Nope.  Don’t fall into the trap/cycle. 

Agreed, I know I said the other day that I was returning my brand new snow blower but...….

1 minute ago, BristowWx said:

Probably the trough in the east hence that blue area.  I think .  And the PAC not horrible 

Yes, I can see that but my question wasn't clear. What caused the change in the Pac? Mojo-related; SOI; PDQ; strat stuff?